Open Source /
                       Open Innovation
                       Modèles économiques hybrides et
                       innovation autour de l'open source




© François LETELLIER                        13 novembre 2008
©
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
Free software
               ≠
           freeware
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
Free / Libre / Open Source



                            R. Stallman


    E. Raymond




© François LETELLIER               13 novembre 2008
Toutes les licences LL/OS sont copyleftées

   Contamination générale

   Obligation de redistribuer / de publier

   Interdiction d'une activité commerciale
© François LETELLIER               13 novembre 2008
The FLOSS code base has been
   doubling every 18-24 mnths over
   the past 8 yrs and this growth is
   projected to continue for several
   more years

    Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
                            communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER                                                    13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
2010
          Mainstream IT shops will
          consider open source for 80% of
          their infrastructure software
          needs
          Mainstream IT shops will
          consider open source for 25% of
          their business software needs
                   Source: Mark Driver, Gartner Research VP, The Gartner Application
                                                    Development Summit, Sept 2005

© François LETELLIER                                       13 novembre 2008
The existing base of quality FLOSS
   applications would cost firms about
   12 Billion Euros to reproduce
   internally


  Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
                          communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER                                                    13 novembre 2008
Source Forge
500 top projects         New technology N. for a platform Existing techno.

       New market              Radical innovation 1%                  <1%

      Existing market          <1%                10%           No innov. 87%




        Source: Innovativeness of open source software projects, K. Klincewicz 2005

© François LETELLIER                                           13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
03                           06
20                       2   0


                                                              2004

TELOCIM


TELOSYS AJAX FRAMEWORK
                                            1994




                                            ASK Corp.       1990
              <1980                 Relational Technology Inc. /
                                           Ingres Corp.            1980

© François LETELLIER                                13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
(business intelligence)




                                                                                                                             Bonita, Shark
             Funambol                                        eXo P.




                                                                                           eXo Platform


                                                                                                                                             (workflow, orchestr.)
                                                                                                                                                 XWiki




                                                                                                          (portal & CMS)
                                    (mobile sync.)


                                                       SpagoBI




                                                                                                                                                                                (wiki, blogs)
                           Sync4j




                                                                                                                                                                        XWiki
 Eclipse                     Engineering                                                           Bull                                                                                                     Eclipse
  Web TP                                                                                                                                                                                                    SOA TP




                                                                                                    Iona                                                                                        EBM WS
                    Bull
                          JOnAS                                                                                            Celtix/Petals
                      (J2EE appserv)                                                                                        (ESB, JBI)
                    INRIA                                                                                                                                                                 INRIA
   EMIC                                                                                    Bull US
                        ProActive                                                                                      JOTM Tél.
                                                                                                                           France                                                                  C-JDBC
           Tribe             (Grid) P6
                               Univ                                                                                (transactions)
                                                                         JAC                                                      Speedo                                                         (RDBMS clust.)
                Together
      (group comm.)                                                       Scalagent
                                                                       (AOP)                                                                                                      Orbeon
                                                                                                                                                                     (JDO persist.)
INRIA/FT                                                                                                                                                                                              OPS
                    Octopus                           FT                                            JORAM XQuare
     Fractal          (ETL)                                ASM                                     (JMS, MOM) XQuare                                                                              (XML pipelines)
  (component mod)                                    (codebyte man.)                                                                                  (XML rewriting)
 © François LETELLIER                                                                                                                                                              13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
Prix d'équilibre
       = zéro
                       Modèle concurentiel   Banalisation
                          déséquilibré
                                             Open Source




© François LETELLIER                         13 novembre 2008
 Windows XP :         450 €    Linux :          0€
   Pack Office :        700 €    OpenOffice :     0€
   PhotoShop :         1100 €    Gimp :           0€
   WebLogic :         $ 10000    JOnAS :          0€
    (par processeur)
   Oracle (/cpu) : $ 40000       PostgreSQL : 0 €
   ...                           ...



© François LETELLIER                     13 novembre 2008
 43rd R+D spending company worldwide
 Fortune 211 (2006), $ 11B revenue

                                          NFS
 Don't make money on IP
 Sell the rest


 [TM]

© François LETELLIER                  13 novembre 2008
FLOSS potentially saves the
   industry 36%+ in software R&D
   investment that can result in
   increased profits or be more usefully
   spent in further innovation

  Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
                          communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER                                                    13 novembre 2008
2012


          80% of all commercial
          software will include
          OSS elements

                Source: Gartner Key Predictions for IT Organisations and Users in 2008
                                                           and Beyond, January 2008

© François LETELLIER                                         13 novembre 2008
Microsoft Abandons IE 8




© François LETELLIER           13 novembre 2008
“Il n'y a pas de modèle
   d'affaires pour le
   logiciel libre !”


© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
The OSS related economy
   represents 565,000 jobs and 263
   Billion Euros in annual revenues
   (2006)


  Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
                          communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER                                                    13 novembre 2008
 $ 91B revenue
 #1 in number of US patents granted/y
 $ 1B/y FOSS investment (2002)




© François LETELLIER                 13 novembre 2008
Produit: le code open source
  Prix: zero
  Promotion: aucune
  Place: online, un point c'est tout


© François LETELLIER       13 novembre 2008
 Support and services tied to open source
   Aggregating and enhancing
   Commercialize with dual licenses
   Bait and hook
   Selling added value complements
   Subsystems level lock-in
   SaaS, Infoware


  < insert your own here >
© François LETELLIER              13 novembre 2008
Fenêtres d'opportunité

                          Emerging   Commoditized
          Opportunities




                                         Adoption




© François LETELLIER                       13 novembre 2008
Obsolète
                       Sans intérêt
                       Sans marché
                       Sans communauté




                       Trash in, trash out

© François LETELLIER             13 novembre 2008
Source : Duane Elmer's Cross-Cultural Connections (Downers Grove: InterVarsity Press, 2002),

© François LETELLIER                                                   13 novembre 2008
N.I.H
           N.S.H
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
© François LETELLIER   13 novembre 2008
“The Power of Collaborative
           Innovation is the answer to all the
          big global challenges we are facing”




                                          Tony Blair
                               World Economic Forum
                                 Davos, Janvier 2008

© François LETELLIER              13 novembre 2008
fl@flet.fr

                       www.flet.fr

© François LETELLIER           13 novembre 2008

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open innovation : Comment l'ouverture peut-être un atout pour l'innovation ?

  • 1. Open Source / Open Innovation Modèles économiques hybrides et innovation autour de l'open source © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 2. © © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 3. Free software ≠ freeware © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 4. Free / Libre / Open Source R. Stallman E. Raymond © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 5. Toutes les licences LL/OS sont copyleftées Contamination générale Obligation de redistribuer / de publier Interdiction d'une activité commerciale © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 6. The FLOSS code base has been doubling every 18-24 mnths over the past 8 yrs and this growth is projected to continue for several more years Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 7. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 8. 2010 Mainstream IT shops will consider open source for 80% of their infrastructure software needs Mainstream IT shops will consider open source for 25% of their business software needs Source: Mark Driver, Gartner Research VP, The Gartner Application Development Summit, Sept 2005 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 9. The existing base of quality FLOSS applications would cost firms about 12 Billion Euros to reproduce internally Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 10. Source Forge 500 top projects New technology N. for a platform Existing techno. New market Radical innovation 1% <1% Existing market <1% 10% No innov. 87% Source: Innovativeness of open source software projects, K. Klincewicz 2005 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 11. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 12. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 13. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 14. 03 06 20 2 0 2004 TELOCIM TELOSYS AJAX FRAMEWORK 1994 ASK Corp. 1990 <1980 Relational Technology Inc. / Ingres Corp. 1980 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 15. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 16. (business intelligence) Bonita, Shark Funambol eXo P. eXo Platform (workflow, orchestr.) XWiki (portal & CMS) (mobile sync.) SpagoBI (wiki, blogs) Sync4j XWiki Eclipse Engineering Bull Eclipse Web TP SOA TP Iona EBM WS Bull JOnAS Celtix/Petals (J2EE appserv) (ESB, JBI) INRIA INRIA EMIC Bull US ProActive JOTM Tél. France C-JDBC Tribe (Grid) P6 Univ (transactions) JAC Speedo (RDBMS clust.) Together (group comm.) Scalagent (AOP) Orbeon (JDO persist.) INRIA/FT OPS Octopus FT JORAM XQuare Fractal (ETL) ASM (JMS, MOM) XQuare (XML pipelines) (component mod) (codebyte man.) (XML rewriting) © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 17. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 18. Prix d'équilibre = zéro Modèle concurentiel Banalisation déséquilibré Open Source © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 19.  Windows XP : 450 €  Linux : 0€  Pack Office : 700 €  OpenOffice : 0€  PhotoShop : 1100 €  Gimp : 0€  WebLogic : $ 10000  JOnAS : 0€ (par processeur)  Oracle (/cpu) : $ 40000  PostgreSQL : 0 €  ...  ... © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 20.  43rd R+D spending company worldwide  Fortune 211 (2006), $ 11B revenue NFS  Don't make money on IP  Sell the rest  [TM] © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 21. FLOSS potentially saves the industry 36%+ in software R&D investment that can result in increased profits or be more usefully spent in further innovation Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 22. 2012 80% of all commercial software will include OSS elements Source: Gartner Key Predictions for IT Organisations and Users in 2008 and Beyond, January 2008 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 23. Microsoft Abandons IE 8 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 24. “Il n'y a pas de modèle d'affaires pour le logiciel libre !” © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 25. The OSS related economy represents 565,000 jobs and 263 Billion Euros in annual revenues (2006) Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 26.  $ 91B revenue  #1 in number of US patents granted/y  $ 1B/y FOSS investment (2002) © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 27. Produit: le code open source Prix: zero Promotion: aucune Place: online, un point c'est tout © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 28.  Support and services tied to open source  Aggregating and enhancing  Commercialize with dual licenses  Bait and hook  Selling added value complements  Subsystems level lock-in  SaaS, Infoware < insert your own here > © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 29. Fenêtres d'opportunité Emerging Commoditized Opportunities Adoption © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 30. Obsolète Sans intérêt Sans marché Sans communauté Trash in, trash out © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 31. Source : Duane Elmer's Cross-Cultural Connections (Downers Grove: InterVarsity Press, 2002), © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 32. N.I.H N.S.H © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 33. © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 34. “The Power of Collaborative Innovation is the answer to all the big global challenges we are facing” Tony Blair World Economic Forum Davos, Janvier 2008 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008
  • 35. [email protected] www.flet.fr © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008