Here are the key steps to quantitatively compute expected loss from risks:
1. Determine the value of the assets that may be lost or compromised. This includes tangible replacement costs as well as intangible costs like loss of reputation.
2. Estimate the probability that each threat will materialize into an actual loss, based on historical data if available. Otherwise use an informed estimate.
3. Quantify the impact of each threat as a monetary value equal to the expected loss to the affected assets in case the threat materializes.
4. Compute the annualized loss expectancy (ALE) for each threat as:
ALE = Asset Value x Probability of Threat x Impact/Loss
5. Add up the