Macroeconomics
What is macroeconomics?What are macroeconomic goals?How is national income measured?How can economic growth be achieved?2
What is macroeconomics?Macroeconomics is the study of a national economy.3
Macroeconomic Goals4
5National Income
Two Sector Circular Flow of IncomeMonetary FlowHouseholdsRealFlowGood and Services = Output (O)Expenditure on Goods and Services(E)Wages, Rent and Profits(Y)Factors of ProductionFirmsE = O = Y6
Four Sector Circular Flow of IncomeLeakages (L)Injections (J)Saving (S)HouseholdsInvestments(I)IncomeExports(X)Imports (M)GovernmentSpending (G)ExpenditureTaxes(T)FirmsO = E = Y7Sum J = Sum L
Measuring National IncomeIncome MethodOutput MethodHouseholdsGood and ServicesWages, Rent and ProfitsExpenditure on Goods and ServicesFactors of ProductionFirmsExpenditure Method8
How is national income measured?9
How is national output measured?10
How is national expenditure measured?11
What is GDP?12
GDPGDP = Gross Domestic Product = Total Value of all Spending in an Economy = The Total Value of all final Goods and Services in an Economy regardless of who owns the productive assets.GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)13
GNPGNP = Gross National Product = Total Income Earned by a nation’s factors of production regardless of where the assets are located14
Real GDPReal GDP = Nominal GDP adjusted for inflation15
Calculating Real GDPReal GDP = Nominal GDP of year measured16X 100GDP Deflator
The Uses of National Statistics17
Limitations of the Data18
Introduction to Development19
What is economic development?Economic Development is a multidimensional concept that includes poverty reduction, provision of education, health care and law and order, civil liberties and civic participation.20
Why GDP fails to accurately measure welfare21
Why GDP may understate improvements in welfare22
Why GDP may overstate welfare23
How can development be measured?GDP per capitaHuman Development Index	Aims to stress the human dimension of economic growth24
How can development be measured?25
How is the HDI determined?26
How can development be measured?27
Developing and Developed 28
How can development be measured?Important Indicators of developmentInfant mortality rateMaternal mortality ratioEnrolment in each level of educationLiteracy Internet users per 100029
30Macroeconomic Models
What is aggregate demand (AD)?Aggregate Demand is the aggregate (total) spending on goods and service in a period of time at a given price level.31
32
What are the components of AD?C =	all household consumption on durables, non-durables and servicesI =  firm’s replacement investment(spending on capital to maintain productivity) or induced investment to increase productionG = all government spending X-M = spending by foreigners on exports less domestic spending on imports 33
What causes shifts in AD?34
What causes Changes in Consumption?ADADADAD35
What causes Changes in Consumption?  ADADADAD36
What causes Changes in Consumption? ADADADAD37
What causes Changes in Investment?ADAD38
Demand for investment funds?39
What causes Changes in Investment? ADADADAD40
What causes Changes in Investment?  ADADADAD41
What causes Changes in Investment?ADAD42
What causes Changes in Government Spending? ADADADAD43
What causes Changes in Export and iMport spending?ADAD44
What causes Changes in Export and iMport spending?ADADADAD45
What is aggregate supply (AS)?Aggregate(total) Supply isamount of goods and services that all industries will produce at a given price level.46
What is aggregate supply in the short run (SRAS)?47
What are the components of AS?48
What causes shifts in SRAS?49
What causes shifts in SRAS? ASASASAS50
What causes shifts in SRAS? ASASASAS51
What causes supply shocks? ASAS52
Macroeconomic Equilibrium53
Shifts in AD54
Shifts in SRAS55
The Business CycleFluctuations in the growth of real output, consisting of periods of expansion and contraction called business cycles or trade cycles.56
Business Cycle57
Business Cycle: Expansion58
Business Cycle: Peak59
Business Cycle: Contraction60
Business Cycle: Trough61
Relationship between real GDP and Employment62
Using Diagrams to Illustrate Macroeconomic Goals 63
Using Diagrams to Illustrate Macroeconomic Goals 64
Changes in SR Equilibrium    65
Changes in AD 66
Changes in SRAS 67
Economic  Scenarios  68
Deflationary (recessionary) gap 69
Recession A recession is when the economy experiences two consecutive quarters of falling GDP.70
Inflationary gap 71
Full employment level of output 72
Causes of  Business Cycle   73
Changes in AD 74
Changes in AS 75
What is the neoclassical perspective?76
The Neoclassical LRAS77
Neoclassical (Free Market)  LRAS 78LRAS perfectly inelastic at Full Employment Level of Output (Ymax)Potential Output = Quantity and Quality of FOPs not Price
Why is the LRAS vertical?79
Implications of the neoclassical LRAS?80
Long-run equilibrium 81
Long-run equilibrium and Decline in AD 82
Return to Long-run equilibrium 83
Long-run equilibrium 84
Long-run equilibrium and Increase in AD 85
Return to Long-run equilibrium 86
What is the Keynesian perspective?87
The Keynesian SR/LRAS?88
 Keynesian SR/LRAS89Segment 1: Spare capacity in the economy, LRAS perfectly elastic
 Keynesian SR/LRASKeynes argued that as there is nothing inherent in the economy to move the SR into the LR, then SRAS = LRASNB In diagrams taking a Keynesian you may see the AS curve labeled Keynesian AS or simply LRAS as long as the diagram’s title makes clear which perspective is being adopted  90
Inflationary Gap in the Keynesian Perspective91
Full Employment Equilibrium in the Keynesian Perspective92
Economic Growth: Improved Quantity & Quality of FOPs 93
Economic Growth: Neoclassical Perspective 94
Economic Growth: Keynesian Perspective95
96 Demand-side and Supply-side policies
Policy Alternatives to Manage the Economy97
Expansionary Policies (in recession)98
Contractionary  Policies (in inflation)99
Strengths of Fiscal Policy100
Weaknesses of Fiscal Policy101
Strengths of Monetary Policy102
Weaknesses of Monetary Policy103
The Neoclassical/Monetarist ChallengeArgument that discretionary fiscal polices that try to stabilize the economy are so flawed that they actually cause instabilityAlternative policiesEnsure steady supply of moneyEnsure price and wage flexibilityFocus on supply-side policies to achieve economic growth104
Supply-side Policies105
Market-orientated Policies106
Market-orientated Supply-side Policies: Objectives107
108
Reduce Government Sector: Pros and Cons109
110
Improving incentives : Pros and Cons111
112
Make labor more responsive to supply and demand : Pros and Cons113
114
Government policies to improve industry: Pros and Cons115
Shifting the SRAS and the LRAS in the AS-AD Model116
The multiplier, accelerator and crowding-out effectHL Topics117
The Multiplier Effect118
119Marginal Propensity1
Example of the Multiplier in Effect120Assumption 60% of additional income spent on Consumption (MPC = 0.6)The Multiplier = 1/1-MPC
The Multiplier Effect121
The Accelerator Theory & the Combined multiplier/accelerator effectArgues that small changes in GDP produces larger changes in investment spending. These fluctuations interact with the Multiplier effect to increase the momentum of business cycle.122
Crowding-out Effect123
Crowding-out Effect124
Crowding-out Effect125
126Unemployment and Inflation
Unemployment127
128
129
Economy at Potential 130
Types of Unemployment 131
Keynesian Remedy for Unemployment During a Recession132
Neoclassical Remedy for Unemployment During a Recession133
Real Wage Unemployment134
Eliminating Cyclical (Demand-deficient) Unemployment135
Inflation and Deflation136
Inflation & Deflation137
Demand-pull Inflation138
Cost-push Inflation139
140
Stakeholders and Inflation141
142
“Good” Deflation143
MacroeconomicsSection 3.5HL TopicsMeasuring InflationThe Phillips CurveNRU &  NAIRU144
Measuring InflationThe consumer price index (CPI)  compares the value of a basket of goods and services in one year with a same basket in the base year. 145
Problems Measuring Inflation146
The Phillips Curve147
NRU = NAIRUIf governments avoid demand-side expansionary policies Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment is achieved (NAIRU)148
Long-run Phillips Curve149
Phillips Curve150
Phillips Curve151
No-classical challenge to the Phillips Curve6% = NRUWages set to rise by at least 2% as workers expect this rate of inflationa =  Labor Market at equilibrium 152
LR Phillips CurveIf expansionary policies adopted, inflation would  increase to 4% or more. Real wages have fallen and firms hire additional labor. 153
LR Phillips CurveUnemployment is now below NRU at 4%. (b)Workers have fallen for the “money illusion” and slow to realize that real wages have fallen because inflation is actually over 4%. 154
LR Phillips CurveOnce workers realize real wages have fallen they will demand at least a 4% pay rise. Real wages will return to previous levels and firm will fire workers.Unemployment has returned to (c)  155
LR Phillips CurveAny attempt to to increase AD will only result in temporary changes to unemployment but increasingly high rates of inflation156
LR Phillips CurveFriedman argued that no trade off exists if governments do not use demand side policies.157
158Income Distribution
Income Distribution and EquityVertical Equity = treating people differently to achieve greater fairness e.g. people on low incomes pay less tax than people on high incomes Horizontal  Equity = people should be treated the same e.g. people who have the same income should pay the same tax159
160
161
Progressive, Proportional and Regressive TaxationProgressive: as income increases, the fraction paid in tax increasesProportional: as income increases the fraction paid in taxes remains constantRegressive: as income increases, the fraction paid in taxes decreases162
Progressive, Proportional and Regressive Taxation163
164
Lorenz CurvePerfect income equalityInequality of income165
Calculating Gini CoefficientGini Coefficient = A/A+B166AB
Gini CoefficientGini Coefficient = areas between diagonal and Lorenz Curve/entire area under diagonalValues closer to 0 = greater income equalityValues closer to 1 = greater income inequality167
Laffer Curve (HL Extension)168
Laffer Curve 169
ActivitySelect one of the OECD economies to study in detail over Section 3Undertake research to find the following:Real GDP for the last decadeReal GDP per Capita for the last decadeReal GDP growth for the last decadeWhat conclusions can you draw? 170
Activity Visit www.nationmaster.com or any reputable site and gather data on the various measure of development for your OECD country of focus and compare it with the developing nation you chose early in the course.171
Typical Examination Questions172These questions focus on Measuring National Income and Macroeconomics Models.Explain the  possible limitations of using GDP as a measure to compare welfarebetween countries.Using the circular flow of income diagram, explain the link betweensaving and investment.Use AS/AD diagrams to explain the causes of inflation (or deflation).Identify the components of aggregate demand (or aggregate supply) and briefly explain factors which might determine these components.Evaluate the likely impact on an economy of a substantial rise (or fall) in the level of interest rates (or other components of AD)
Typical Examination QuestionsThese questions focus on inflation and deflation:What are the problems associated with measuring inflation?Explain the possible causes of a rise (or fall) in the rate of inflation in an economy.Evaluate the likely effects of a rising (or falling) rate of inflation on the performance of an economy. Explain the costs of inflation and deflation.Evaluate the view that governments should make the control of inflation their highest priorityEvaluate the possible impact on economic performance that may result from a government decision to bring inflation under control. 173
Typical Examination QuestionsThese questions focus on unemployment:Explain the different types of unemployment.Evaluate polices aimed at achieving full employment in an economy. Explain the costs of unemployment. Discuss the reasons why government find the goal of full employment difficult to achieve.174
Typical Examination QuestionsThese questions focus on monetary and fiscal policy:Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of demand-side policies. Discuss the strengths and weakness of supply-side policies.Explain the purpose of various demand-side (or supply-side) policies.175
Typical Examination QuestionsThese questions focus on income distribution:With the use of examples, explain the difference between a progressive tax and a regressive tax. With the use of examples, explain the difference between direct and indirect taxes.Explain the possible impact on the distribution of income of a government shifting its main source of tax revenue from progressive direct taxes to regressive indirect taxes.Evaluate the methods government use to redistribute income in an economy.176
Typical HL Examination QuestionsIn addition to the questions above, HL students need to prepare for the following:Explain the relationship between the Lorenz Curve and the Gini coefficient.Explain how increasing government spending can lead to crowding out.Use the Phillips curve to explain the concepts of Natural Rate of Unemployment and outline its usefulness.Explain the multiplier and the accelerator effects.Use the Laffer Curve to explain the likely impact of progressive and regressive tax systems.   177
On-Line Resources (1)Keynes and Hayek RapNationmater is a massive central data source and a handy way to graphically compare nations that compiles data from such sources as the CIA World Factbook, UN, and OECD. CIA Factbook The World Factbook provides information on the history, people, government, economy, geography, communications, transportation, military, and transnational issues for 266 world entities.	Gapminder, an excellent way to visual information178
On-Line Resources (2)International Monetary Fund  also provides international data.National Council on Economics Education  is another excellent source of information. The organization also has worksheets to help student analyze current GDP data.TheEconomist DebatesCommanding HeightsTriple A Learning Economics Blog179

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