DICK VOITH, ECONSULT SOLUTIONS
October 23, 2015
The Changing Landscape of
Economic Development:
Opportunities and Equity Issues
Presentation Overview
• American Cities
– Urban Decline
– Changing Landscape
• Philadelphia: Challenges and Opportunities
– Tax Structure
– Key Challenges
– Opportunities
2
Changing Landscape of
American Cities
• After 40 years or more of decline, most American
cities have stabilized and begun to grow
3
Urban Decline
Decline in 1950 was inevitable:
• Development of highway system
• Housing subsidies for new construction
• Extremely cheap suburban development
• Changing manufacturing technology and
globalization
• Aging, disinvested city housing
4
Urban Decline
Exacerbated by:
• Social problems
• Racial tensions
5
Urban Decline
Formation of a new “American Dream”
• Suburban house with lots of land
• Cars equal freedom
• Cities were only for the poor, living in the city was
essentially a failure
6
Urban Decline
American dream continuously
reinforced:
• Movies, TV, commercials
• Cities were the opposite of the
dream
– Unsafe
– Obsolete
– Escape from New York (NYC was
declining and near bankrupt in
the 70s)
• Potential positive benefits of cities
were recognized by few..
7
Changing Landscape
8
By the 1990s The landscape began to change once
again, in part driven by basic economic forces:
• Suburbs became expensive places to develop
• Highway asset became expensive with transportation
expenditures focused on replacement rather than
new capacity
• Cities began the transition towards knowledge centers
• Production and consumption benefits of cities
appreciated once again
8
Changing Landscape
9
9
23%
45%
50% 51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1950 1980 2000 2010
% of People Live in
Suburbs
Changing Landscape
10
Cultural shift in attitudes towards cities
reflected in:
• Movies, TV, commercials
10
Changing Landscape
City and Suburbs now on more even ground
• Suburbs still growing but not fueled by city decline
11
Philadelphia
Philadelphia was on the verge of bankruptcy
in 1991
• Rendell administration reforms
– Union contracts
– Spending
– Tax policies
12
Philadelphia
13
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Population
Year
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Key issues for Philadelphia:
• Tax structure
• Schools
• Public Safety
• Transit
• Water/Sewer
14
Philadelphia: Tax Structure
Addressing Philadelphia’s Tax Structure
• ESI involved since 2003 Tax Reform
Commission
15
Philadelphia: Tax Structure
Philadelphia’s wage and business taxes have
proven to have negative impacts on jobs
16
• Despite Phila’s
population
renaissance
employment growth
is modest at best
Philadelphia: Tax Structure
• Lack of competitiveness can be seen in the
low rents for offices
17
$75
$63
$51
$45
$36 $33 $31
$27 $26 $25
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
CBD Rent per Square Ft Q4 2014
(source: Center City District)
Philadelphia Wage Tax
Reductions in Wage Tax:
• Resident Wage Tax 1995: 4.96%
• Resident Wage Tax 2016: 3.91%
Achieved through a series of incremental cuts
18
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
Real Estate Tax Abatement
• Since 2000, Philadelphia has offered a ten-
year abatement on all real estate
improvements
– Owner continues to pay tax on the value of
the land and the prior value of the
improvements during the 10 year period
19
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
20
• Pre abatement—virtually no residential construction
• Post-abatement—construction on pace with suburbs
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
21
Category Code
Total
Property
Count
Abated
Property
Count
Percent
Properties
Abated Abated LV Abated MV
Residential 459,219 12,077 2.6% $389,325,957 $4,642,431,100
Apartments 40,927 1,183 2.9% $123,471,227 $1,978,538,800
Mixed Use 14,760 177 1.2% $17,521,180 $93,296,700
Commercial 14,934 376 2.5% $342,288,819 $1,574,214,500
Industrial 4,406 51 1.2% $22,058,800 $113,627,500
Vacant Land 45,513 10 0.0% $321,600 $4,294,000
Total 579,759 13,874 2.4% $894,987,583 $8,406,402,600
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
22
Abatement Issues
• Center on fairness
• Superficially reasonable:
– Why shouldn’t those wealthy enough to
develop be able to pay higher taxes?
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
23
Theoretical Basis for Abatement
• Lowers tax on mobile capital—increases the
rate of investment in the city
– Half way to a land tax—but can tax the
capital once it is fixed
• Investment makes the city so much more
attractive that demand increases hugely
• Available to anyone—not subject to political
manipulation
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
24
Theoretical Basis for Abatement
• Increases the supply of housing at all levels
• Result is greater housing opportunity for all,
regardless of income level
– This is not true only if 100% of the people
looking for housing are new to the city
• Multi-family rental supply increases, lowering
rent costs for tenants
25
• “Lost revenue” is only
relevant if investment
would have occurred
anyway
• Benefit taxes—high
income people
generate more
revenue than they
use—which results in
more money available
for basic services
Theoretical Basis for Abatement
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
26
Empirical Issues
with Abatement
• Concentrated in
Center City but
appear all over
Quartile Map of
Single Family
Residential
Abated
Properties by
Neighborhood
27
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
28
Empirical Issues
with Abatement
• Both rental and
owner-occupied
housing
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
29
Empirical Issues
with Abatement
• Significant use of
abatement for
low/moderate
income units
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
30
Empirical Issues with Abatement
• Abated properties have been turning back to the tax roles
– Approximately $1 billion per year (1% of taxable value)
• Now property tax revenue are increasing at a faster rate
than they otherwise would have
• Careful studies have shown that the abatement generates
more revenue to the city than it forgoes
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
31
Equity and the Abatement
• Important to look at the total tax package
– High wage and school taxes paid by high income
people mean that their revenues exceed the cost of
producing services for them—especially since they
place little burden on schools
• Philadelphia’s homestead exemption means that property
tax rates are considerably lower for low and moderate
income people (distribution of house values, and implied
tax rates with the homestead invention)
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
32
Equity and the Abatement
• Philadelphia’s homestead exemption means that property
tax rates are considerably lower for low and moderate
income people
Market Value of
Property
Abated
Property Count
Percent of Abated
Properties
< $124,999 1,465 10.6%
$125,001 to $250,000 3,317 23.9%
$250,001 to $500,000 6,129 44.2%
> $500,000 2,963 21.4%
Total 13,874 100.0%
Philadelphia Tax Abatement
33
Equity and the Abatement
• Philadelphia’s homestead exemption means that property
tax rates are considerably lower for low and moderate
income people
Market Value of Property
Abated
Residential
Property
Count
Percent of Abated
Residential
Properties
Total Residential
Property Count
Percent of
Total
Residential
Properties
< $124,999 1,256 10.4% 264,956 57.7%
$125,001 to $250,000 3,062 25.4% 145,914 31.8%
$250,001 to $500,000 5,490 45.5% 39,875 8.7%
> $500,000 2,269 18.8% 8,474 1.8%
Total 12,077 100.0% 459,219 100.0%
Philadelphia: Tax Structure
Philadelphia Growth Coalition Proposal
• Lower wage tax
• Lower net income tax
• Increase commercial property tax
34
Fiscal Year Wage Tax –
Resident
Wage Tax –
non Resident
Real Estate
Tax –
Residential
Real Estate
Tax -
Commercial
BIRT –
Gross
Receipts
BIRT –
Net Income
2016 3.9102% 3.4828% 1.3998% 1.3998% 0.1415% 6.3900%
2026 3.0000% 2.5000% 1.3998% 1.6098% 0.1415% 3.0000%
Philadelphia: Tax Structure
Philadelphia Growth Coalition Proposal
35
Philadelphia Key Issues: Transit
SEPTA, once a drag on the city because of
declining service, failing infrastructure, and
uncertain funding is finally on solid footing
• TFRC (2002-07) led to act 44
• More recently and more importantly Act 89—put
SEPTA on solid footing
• Ridership is growing
• More importantly, investments are being made
take advantage of SEPTA service creating a more
viable, equitable and sustainable form of
development
36
Philadelphia Key Issues: Water/Sewer
Philadelphia is a world leader in green infrastructure
• Saving billions by approaching the costs of its
aging combined sewer system through pricing
and incentives to limit runoff, rather than making
huge capital investments
37
Philadelphia Key Issues: Water/Sewer
Philadelphia is a world leader in green infrastructure
• Saving billions by approaching the costs of its
aging combined sewer system through pricing
and incentives to limit runoff, rather than making
huge capital investments
38
Philadelphia Key Issues: Public Safety
Significant improvements overall…
39
Philadelphia Key Issues: Public Safety
But geographically and demographically uneven…
40
Philadelphia Key Issues: Schools
Schools remain a challenge for the City
• Needy population
• Fiscal challenges
41
Opportunities
Delaware River Waterfront
42
Opportunities
Schuylkill River Waterfront
• Innovation Districts/Higher Ed tie-ins
43
Q & A

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The Changing Landscape of Economic Development

  • 1. DICK VOITH, ECONSULT SOLUTIONS October 23, 2015 The Changing Landscape of Economic Development: Opportunities and Equity Issues
  • 2. Presentation Overview • American Cities – Urban Decline – Changing Landscape • Philadelphia: Challenges and Opportunities – Tax Structure – Key Challenges – Opportunities 2
  • 3. Changing Landscape of American Cities • After 40 years or more of decline, most American cities have stabilized and begun to grow 3
  • 4. Urban Decline Decline in 1950 was inevitable: • Development of highway system • Housing subsidies for new construction • Extremely cheap suburban development • Changing manufacturing technology and globalization • Aging, disinvested city housing 4
  • 5. Urban Decline Exacerbated by: • Social problems • Racial tensions 5
  • 6. Urban Decline Formation of a new “American Dream” • Suburban house with lots of land • Cars equal freedom • Cities were only for the poor, living in the city was essentially a failure 6
  • 7. Urban Decline American dream continuously reinforced: • Movies, TV, commercials • Cities were the opposite of the dream – Unsafe – Obsolete – Escape from New York (NYC was declining and near bankrupt in the 70s) • Potential positive benefits of cities were recognized by few.. 7
  • 8. Changing Landscape 8 By the 1990s The landscape began to change once again, in part driven by basic economic forces: • Suburbs became expensive places to develop • Highway asset became expensive with transportation expenditures focused on replacement rather than new capacity • Cities began the transition towards knowledge centers • Production and consumption benefits of cities appreciated once again 8
  • 10. Changing Landscape 10 Cultural shift in attitudes towards cities reflected in: • Movies, TV, commercials 10
  • 11. Changing Landscape City and Suburbs now on more even ground • Suburbs still growing but not fueled by city decline 11
  • 12. Philadelphia Philadelphia was on the verge of bankruptcy in 1991 • Rendell administration reforms – Union contracts – Spending – Tax policies 12
  • 14. Philadelphia Key issues for Philadelphia: • Tax structure • Schools • Public Safety • Transit • Water/Sewer 14
  • 15. Philadelphia: Tax Structure Addressing Philadelphia’s Tax Structure • ESI involved since 2003 Tax Reform Commission 15
  • 16. Philadelphia: Tax Structure Philadelphia’s wage and business taxes have proven to have negative impacts on jobs 16 • Despite Phila’s population renaissance employment growth is modest at best
  • 17. Philadelphia: Tax Structure • Lack of competitiveness can be seen in the low rents for offices 17 $75 $63 $51 $45 $36 $33 $31 $27 $26 $25 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 CBD Rent per Square Ft Q4 2014 (source: Center City District)
  • 18. Philadelphia Wage Tax Reductions in Wage Tax: • Resident Wage Tax 1995: 4.96% • Resident Wage Tax 2016: 3.91% Achieved through a series of incremental cuts 18
  • 19. Philadelphia Tax Abatement Real Estate Tax Abatement • Since 2000, Philadelphia has offered a ten- year abatement on all real estate improvements – Owner continues to pay tax on the value of the land and the prior value of the improvements during the 10 year period 19
  • 20. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 20 • Pre abatement—virtually no residential construction • Post-abatement—construction on pace with suburbs
  • 21. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 21 Category Code Total Property Count Abated Property Count Percent Properties Abated Abated LV Abated MV Residential 459,219 12,077 2.6% $389,325,957 $4,642,431,100 Apartments 40,927 1,183 2.9% $123,471,227 $1,978,538,800 Mixed Use 14,760 177 1.2% $17,521,180 $93,296,700 Commercial 14,934 376 2.5% $342,288,819 $1,574,214,500 Industrial 4,406 51 1.2% $22,058,800 $113,627,500 Vacant Land 45,513 10 0.0% $321,600 $4,294,000 Total 579,759 13,874 2.4% $894,987,583 $8,406,402,600
  • 22. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 22 Abatement Issues • Center on fairness • Superficially reasonable: – Why shouldn’t those wealthy enough to develop be able to pay higher taxes?
  • 23. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 23 Theoretical Basis for Abatement • Lowers tax on mobile capital—increases the rate of investment in the city – Half way to a land tax—but can tax the capital once it is fixed • Investment makes the city so much more attractive that demand increases hugely • Available to anyone—not subject to political manipulation
  • 24. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 24 Theoretical Basis for Abatement • Increases the supply of housing at all levels • Result is greater housing opportunity for all, regardless of income level – This is not true only if 100% of the people looking for housing are new to the city • Multi-family rental supply increases, lowering rent costs for tenants
  • 25. 25 • “Lost revenue” is only relevant if investment would have occurred anyway • Benefit taxes—high income people generate more revenue than they use—which results in more money available for basic services Theoretical Basis for Abatement Philadelphia Tax Abatement
  • 26. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 26 Empirical Issues with Abatement • Concentrated in Center City but appear all over
  • 27. Quartile Map of Single Family Residential Abated Properties by Neighborhood 27
  • 28. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 28 Empirical Issues with Abatement • Both rental and owner-occupied housing
  • 29. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 29 Empirical Issues with Abatement • Significant use of abatement for low/moderate income units
  • 30. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 30 Empirical Issues with Abatement • Abated properties have been turning back to the tax roles – Approximately $1 billion per year (1% of taxable value) • Now property tax revenue are increasing at a faster rate than they otherwise would have • Careful studies have shown that the abatement generates more revenue to the city than it forgoes
  • 31. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 31 Equity and the Abatement • Important to look at the total tax package – High wage and school taxes paid by high income people mean that their revenues exceed the cost of producing services for them—especially since they place little burden on schools • Philadelphia’s homestead exemption means that property tax rates are considerably lower for low and moderate income people (distribution of house values, and implied tax rates with the homestead invention)
  • 32. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 32 Equity and the Abatement • Philadelphia’s homestead exemption means that property tax rates are considerably lower for low and moderate income people Market Value of Property Abated Property Count Percent of Abated Properties < $124,999 1,465 10.6% $125,001 to $250,000 3,317 23.9% $250,001 to $500,000 6,129 44.2% > $500,000 2,963 21.4% Total 13,874 100.0%
  • 33. Philadelphia Tax Abatement 33 Equity and the Abatement • Philadelphia’s homestead exemption means that property tax rates are considerably lower for low and moderate income people Market Value of Property Abated Residential Property Count Percent of Abated Residential Properties Total Residential Property Count Percent of Total Residential Properties < $124,999 1,256 10.4% 264,956 57.7% $125,001 to $250,000 3,062 25.4% 145,914 31.8% $250,001 to $500,000 5,490 45.5% 39,875 8.7% > $500,000 2,269 18.8% 8,474 1.8% Total 12,077 100.0% 459,219 100.0%
  • 34. Philadelphia: Tax Structure Philadelphia Growth Coalition Proposal • Lower wage tax • Lower net income tax • Increase commercial property tax 34 Fiscal Year Wage Tax – Resident Wage Tax – non Resident Real Estate Tax – Residential Real Estate Tax - Commercial BIRT – Gross Receipts BIRT – Net Income 2016 3.9102% 3.4828% 1.3998% 1.3998% 0.1415% 6.3900% 2026 3.0000% 2.5000% 1.3998% 1.6098% 0.1415% 3.0000%
  • 35. Philadelphia: Tax Structure Philadelphia Growth Coalition Proposal 35
  • 36. Philadelphia Key Issues: Transit SEPTA, once a drag on the city because of declining service, failing infrastructure, and uncertain funding is finally on solid footing • TFRC (2002-07) led to act 44 • More recently and more importantly Act 89—put SEPTA on solid footing • Ridership is growing • More importantly, investments are being made take advantage of SEPTA service creating a more viable, equitable and sustainable form of development 36
  • 37. Philadelphia Key Issues: Water/Sewer Philadelphia is a world leader in green infrastructure • Saving billions by approaching the costs of its aging combined sewer system through pricing and incentives to limit runoff, rather than making huge capital investments 37
  • 38. Philadelphia Key Issues: Water/Sewer Philadelphia is a world leader in green infrastructure • Saving billions by approaching the costs of its aging combined sewer system through pricing and incentives to limit runoff, rather than making huge capital investments 38
  • 39. Philadelphia Key Issues: Public Safety Significant improvements overall… 39
  • 40. Philadelphia Key Issues: Public Safety But geographically and demographically uneven… 40
  • 41. Philadelphia Key Issues: Schools Schools remain a challenge for the City • Needy population • Fiscal challenges 41
  • 43. Opportunities Schuylkill River Waterfront • Innovation Districts/Higher Ed tie-ins 43
  • 44. Q & A

Editor's Notes

  • #33: DICK! Wasn’t sure whether this slide option or the next was better. Let me know.