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The New Mega Trends Sarwant Singh Frost Sullivan
The document discusses emerging mega trends shaping future business, cultures, and personal lives, particularly emphasizing urbanization, technological convergence, and social shifts. Key insights include the economic implications of mega cities, the rise of a connected environment with billions of devices, and the importance of personalization in new business models. It also highlights opportunities in high-speed rail connections and strategies for adapting to these transformative trends.
The New Mega Trends Sarwant Singh Frost Sullivan
- 1. New Mega Trends Macro to Micro Opportunities on Future Business, Cultures and Personal Lives Sarwant Singh
- 2. Mega Trend 1: Urbanisation- “City as a Customer”
- 3. Mega Mega Cities Regions Mega Corridor Mega Slums
- 4. Cities, and NotCountries, Will Drive Wealth Creation In the Future Cities like Seoul account for 50% of the country’s GDP; Budapest (Hungary) and Brussels (Belgium) each for roughly 45%. What are the Micro Implications? High Economic Power Hub and Spoke Business Model Transit oriented development New Mobility Solutions City as a Customer
- 5. Siemens Focuses on“City as the Customer” Pre- October 2011 Post-October 2011 Independent Silos Integrated Competencies into One Division “City as the Customer” Energy Building Technologies Healthcare Smart Grid Infrastructure Rail Systems & Cities Industry OSRAM Mobility & Logistics Low & Medium Voltage
- 6. Mega Trend 2: Smartis the New Green
- 8. Convergence of TechnologyWill Lead to Convergence of Competition IT Players SAP ST HP Electronics Point of Convergence Oracle Microsoft Google Cisco Alcatel- Verizon Lucent IBM Senergy Energy/Infrastructure Telecom Players O2 Players Deutsche Eaton Telekom Schneider Siemens Electric General Electric Emerson ABB Honeywell Johnson Controls Rockwell Automation Note: This is an illustration and does not show all market players Automation/Building Control Players
- 9. Mega Trend 3: SocialTrends
- 10. Surge in Asian Work Pool Geo Gen Y Socialization Middle Generational Bulge Political Shift “She- conomy” Ageing Reverse Population Brain Drain
- 11. Mega Trend 4: EconomicTrends
- 12. The Next GameChangers in 2025 Russia $6,189 Billion Turkey $1,167 Poland Billion $2,601 $38,526 Billion Billion China $2,212 $687 Billion Billion $6,235 Billion Thailand Egypt $803 $323 Brazil Billion Billion Vietnam Mexico $5,467 India $483 Billion $4,816 Billion BRIC Nations Billion Philippines Next Game Changers $709 Indonesia Note : The figure denotes GDP at market $654 Billion prices. Forecasts have been made based Billion Argentina on Real GDP growth rates South Africa
- 13. Mega Trend 5: Connectivity& Convergence
- 14. 80 Billion ConnectedDevices By 2020 10 Connected Devices for Every Household by 2020 5 connected devices for every user by 2020 5 billion internet users by 2020 500 devices with unique digital IDs (Internet of things) per square kilometre by 2020
- 15. Connectivity will Leadto Convergence of Products, Technologies and Industries Technology Convergence Industry Convergence Product Convergence UAV Unmanned Aerial Vehicle V2V Vehicle to vehicle V2H Vehicle to Home V2I Vehicle to Infrastructure
- 16. Mega Trend 6: Innovatingto Zero
- 17. Snapshot of a“Zero Concept” World in 2020 Zero Defects Carbon Neutral and Zero Cities Faults Zero Waste/ Emissions Carbon Neutral Factories and Zero Emails Retail Stores Zero Corporate Complete Debts Recyclability from Households (Cradle Zero to Cradle Concept) Breaches of Security Zero Emissions from Cars Zero Accidents Zero Crime Rates
- 18. Mega Trend 7: NewBusiness Models: Value for Many
- 19. Personalization & Customization Nike Personalization and Customization Co-Creation Quirky .com New Business Models Pay as you Fly Unmanned Aerial Vehicles One-off Experience (Thales) (red letter Days)
- 20. Free + Premium = Freemium “Value for Many” Will Replace “Value for Money”
- 21. Mega Trend 8: Health,Wellness and Wellbeing
- 22. The 3 Cornerstones- The Body, Mind and Soul - Contribute To Humans Definition of Health, Wellness and Well Being Mood Stress levels Mental health Sense of optimism Attitude Security Safety Sight / vision Personal values Touch & feel Personal fulfilment Smell / breathing Self image / self Sound actualisation Temperature Wellness
- 23. Future of Health,Wellness and Wellbeing
- 24. Mega Trend 9: HighSpeed Rail
- 25. In Future, HSRail will not only Connect Cities and Countries but will also Connect Continents • China : 25,000 kms by 2025 (7,431 kms in 2010) • 2020 Trans Siberian Link: New Route 66 • Biggest Project: $68 billion California HSR • UK project: £33 billion (by 2026) What are the Opportunities? • Copper-silver and copper-magnesium wires • Steel Companies • Construction tooling, spare parts • Condition monitoring, security, surveillance, • Data handling, Passenger information systems • High Speed Logistics • Mergers and Acquisitions
- 26. From Macro toMicro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to Strategy Implementation To Macro Micro Mega Trend Analysis of Opportunities and Selected trends that impact your business and markets Unmet Needs Sub Trend Impact on Future Product/ A sub-layer of trends that has a Technology wide ranging impact Impact to Your Industry Visualising the roadmap of these critical forces through scenario- building and macro economic forecasts
- 27. Contact Us Sarwant Singh Archana Amarnath Partner & Practice Director, Visionary Innovation Program Manager, Visionary Innovation Research Research Group and Automotive & Transportation Group (+44) 2079157843 (+44) 2079157893 [email protected] [email protected]