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Unlocking ensemble ecosystem modelling for large and complex networks

Fig 6

Equilibrium abundances for the Phillip Island ecosystem network.

Ensemble ecosystem modelling for an ecosystem network representing Phillip Island parameterised using standard-EEM and SMC-EEM. (a) The Phillip Island ecosystem network [25] consists of 22 nodes, with connectance c = 0.18, and 110 parameters when represented as a Lotka-Volterra system. (b) Distributions of equilibrium abundances from the prior distribution (grey), standard-EEM (red) and SMC-EEM (blue) ensembles of ecosystem models. Note that the x-axes have been limited to visualise the distribution peaks, however the range of equilibrium populations for the prior distribution is very diffuse (and hence barely visible in these plots) compared to the ensemble-predicted distribution abundances. Here the blue and red densities match almost exactly, demonstrating that the outputs of the standard-EEM and SMC-EEM methods are consistent.

Fig 6

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011976.g006