PROBABILITY EQUATIONS
Addition Rule
P ( A B )=P ( A ) + P ( B )P( A B)
P ( A B )=P ( A ) + P ( B )
Multiplication Rule
P ( A B ) =P ( A ) x P ( B A )
P ( A B ) =P ( A ) x P ( B )
Conditional Probability
P (A B)
P( A B)=
P( B)
Bayes Theorem
P ( A B) P ( A ) x P (B A )
P( A B)= =
P(B) [ P ( A ) x P ( B A ) ] + [ P ( Ac ) x P ( B Ac ) ]
Combination
n!
(nr)= r ! ( nr )!
Permutation
n!
n r =
( nr ) !
General Formulas: Mean and Variance
Mean
=E (x)
= x i P( x i)
Variance
2=E [ ( x2 ) ] or
x
2
=
2
Binomial Probability Distribution
n!
P ( x )= x ( 1 )n x
x ! ( nx ) !
Mean ( x )
=E ( x )=n [ 2]=n (1)
2=E
Variance
Hypergeometric Distribution
P(x)
( x ) ( ns )
s . N s
( Nn )
Mean ( x )
ns ns(N s) N n
=E ( x )= [ 2]= .
N N2 N 1
2
=E
Variance
Poisson Probability Distribution
x
.e
P ( x )=
x!
Normal Distribution
2
(x)
1 2
2
f ( x )= e
2
Z-score for Standard Normal Distribution
x
z=
Exponential Distribution
x
f ( x )=e
Mean Variance
1 2 1
=E ( x )= =
2