Mark Scheme (Results)

October 2024

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level

In Statistics (WST02) Paper 01
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October 2024
Question Paper Log Number P78915A
Publications Code WST02_01_2410_MS
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2024
 General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark the first
candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last.

• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded for

what they have shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions.

• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to their
perception of where the grade boundaries may lie.

• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme should be

used appropriately.

• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. Examiners
should always award full marks if deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the mark
scheme. Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if the
candidate’s response is not worthy of credit according to the mark scheme.

• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the principles
by which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be limited.

• When examiners are in doubt regarding the application of the mark scheme to
a candidate’s response, the team leader must be consulted.

• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced it with
an alternative response.
 General Instructions for Marking

1. The total number of marks for the paper is 75.

2. The Edexcel Mathematics mark schemes use the following types of marks:
• M marks: Method marks are awarded for ‘knowing a method and attempting to
apply it’, unless otherwise indicated.
• A marks: Accuracy marks can only be awarded if the relevant method (M)
marks have been earned.
• B marks are unconditional accuracy marks (independent of M marks)
Marks should not be subdivided.

3. Abbreviations
These are some of the traditional marking abbreviations that will appear in the
mark schemes and can be used if you are using the annotation facility on ePEN:
• bod – benefit of doubt
• ft – follow through
o the symbol will be used for correct ft
• cao – correct answer only
• cso – correct solution only. There must be no errors in this part of the
question to obtain this mark
• isw – ignore subsequent working
• awrt – answers which round to
• SC – special case
• oe – or equivalent (and appropriate)
• d… or dep – dependent
• indep – independent
• dp – decimal places
• sf – significant figures
•  – The answer is printed on the paper or ag- answer given

• or d… – The second mark is dependent on gaining the first mark

4. All A marks are ‘correct answer only’ (cao), unless shown, for example, as A1 ft to
indicate that previous wrong working is to be followed through. After a misread
however, the subsequent A marks affected are treated as A ft, but manifestly
absurd answers should never be awarded A marks.
 5. For misreading which does not alter the character of a question or materially
simplify it, deduct two from any A or B marks gained, in that part of the question
affected. If you are using the annotation facility on ePEN, indicate this action by
‘MR’ in the body of the script.

6. If a candidate makes more than one attempt at any question:

a) If all but one attempt is crossed out, mark the attempt which is NOT crossed
out.
b) If either all attempts are crossed out or none are crossed out, mark all the
attempts and score the highest single attempt.

7. Ignore wrong working or incorrect statements following a correct answer.

Special notes for marking Statistics exams (for AAs only)

• Any correct method should gain credit. If you cannot see how to apply the mark
scheme but believe the method to be correct then please send to review.
• For method marks, we generally allow or condone a slip or transcription error if these
are seen in an expression. We do not, however, condone or allow these errors in
accuracy marks.
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
1 (a) X = Number of items of litter found in a 2m2 area of the beach So X Po(8)
−8
e 8 5
P ( X = 5) = or P( X „ 5) − P( X „ 4) = 0.1912 − 0.0996 M1
5!
= 0.09160... awrt 0.0916 A1
(2)
2
(b) Y = Number of face masks found in a 5m area of the beach
Y Po(6) or P (Y …5) = 1 − P (Y „ 4) = 1 − 0.2851 M1
= 0.7149 awrt 0.715 A1
(2)
(c) W = Number of items of litter that are not face masks found in a 20m 2 area of the beach
W N(56,56) M1
 59.5 − 56 
P (W  60 ) = P  Z   M1 M1
 56 
Tables  = P ( Z  0.47 )  = 0.6808 calculator 0.68000… awrt 0.68 A1
(4)
Notes Total 8
e−8 5
(a) M1 for use of or P( X „ 5) − P( X „ 4)
5!
A1 awrt 0.0916 (correct answer scores 2 out of 2)
for writing or using Po(6)
(b) M1 or for a correct probability statement 1 − P (Y „ 4) or P (Y …5)
e.g. P (Y …5) = 1 − P(Y „ 5) is M0
A1 awrt 0.715 (correct answer scores 2 out of 2)
for writing or using N(56, 56) may be seen in standardisation
(c) M1 x − 56
(may be implied by the standardisation )
56
M1 standardising with 59.5/60/60.5, their mean and their standard deviation
M1 using a continuity correction 60 + 0.5 [=60.5] or 60 – 0.5 [=59.5]
A1 awrt 0.68 (NB Use of exact Poisson gives 0.68617…and scores 0 out of 4)
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
 1
2 (a) B  25,  B1
 5
(1)
(b)(i) [ M =]4 X − (25 − X ) [= 5 X − 25] B1
(ii) E( M ) = '5' E( X ) − ' 25' M1
1
E( X ) = np = 25  = 5 M1
5
E( M ) = 5  5 − 25 = 0 * A1*
(4)
(c) M …30  '5' X − '25' …30  X …11 M1
P( X …'11') = 1 − P( X„ '10') = 1 − ' 0.9944 ' M1
= 0.0056 awrt 0.0056 A1
(3)
(d) Y B(50, 0.5)
P(n  Y „ 30) = 0.9328 M1
P(Y „ 30) − P(Y „ n) = 0.9328 M1
P(Y „ n) = 0.0077 M1
n = 16 A1
(4)
Notes Total 12
Correct distribution fully specified. Allow in words e.g. Binomial with n = 25 and p = 0.2
(a) B1
Must be seen in part (a)
Mark parts (b)(i) and (b)(ii) together
(b)(i) B1 For a correct expression for M Allow unsimplified
 1
For either '5' E( X ) − ' 25' or E( M ) = 5   25   − 25 or ' 4 ' E( X ) − 1(' 25'− E( X ))
 5
(ii) M1 This must be an expectation statement with the expectation stated in symbol or in words.

5×5 – 25 = 0 or 4×5 – 1×20 = 0 on its own is M0

1
M1 For sight of 25  or stating E(X) = 5
5
Fully correct solution with E( M ) = 0 stated. This may be stated in words.
A1*
The answer is given so no incorrect working can be seen
1 4
SC M1M1 [Expected number of marks (per question) =] 4  − 1 A1 therefore E(M)=0
5 5
(c) M1 For substitution of their M into a linear inequality in terms of X implied by X …11
M1 For use of correct probability statement from their ‘11’
A1 awrt 0.0056 (calc 0.0055549…)
(d) M1 For a correct probability equation (implied by 2nd M1)
M1 For P(Y „ 30) − P(Y „ n) = 0.9328 or 0.9405 − P(Y „ n) = 0.9328
M1 For P(Y „ n) = 0.0077
A1 Cao
P(n  Y „ 30) = 0.9328 P(Y „ 30) − P(Y „ n − 1) = 0.9328 P(Y „ n − 1) = 0.0077
SC
scores M1M0M1A0
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
3 (a) Po(7) B1
(1)
(b) Customers enter the shop occur singly/randomly/independently/constant (average) rate B1, B1
(2)
(c) H0 :  = '7' H1 :   '7' B1ft
(1)
(d) 2 = awrt 0.0073
P( X „ 1) P( X „ 22) = awrt 0.0296 M1
P( X …13) = awrt 0.0270 P( X …14) = awrt 0.0128 M1
X „ 12 X …14 A1
(3)
(e) 0.0073 + 0.0128 = 0.0201 M1
So 2.01% A1ft
(2)
(f) 12 is not in the critical region M1
So, there is insufficient evidence that rate of customers entering the shop has changed A1
(2)
Notes Total 11
(a) B1 Correct distribution fully specified. Po(isson) and  = 7
For two of the given assumptions (must have context of customers/people)
(b) B1, B1 Context only needs to be stated once.
(B1B0 for one assumption in context or for two assumptions with no context)
Both hypotheses correct. Must be attached to H 0 and H1 in terms of λ or μ
(c) B1ft
Ft their 7 from part (a) in the hypotheses
Use of Po(7) to find the lower critical value.
(d) M1 May be implied by either awrt 0.0073 or awrt 0.0296 seen (must be seen in part (d))
Also implied by X =1 or X „ 1 2
Use of Po(7) to find the upper critical value.
May be implied by awrt 0.0270 or awrt 0.0128 or awrt 0.973 or awrt 0.987 seen (must be seen in
M1
part (d))
Also implied by X =14 or X …14
X „ 1,
2 X …14 correct CR scores 3 out of 3 but 14 „ 2X „ 12 is M1M1A0
Allow equivalent forms e.g. X < 2, X >13
A1
Must be a CR and not a probability statement
P(X „ 1),
2 P( X …14) scores M1M1A0
(e) M1 Adding the two probabilities (each must be less than 0.05) for their critical region
A1ft awrt 0.0201 or awrt 2.01% ft the sum of their two selected probability tails
For a correct comparison of 12 with their CR (or their implied CR if one is not explicitly stated),
12 is not in the CR condone 12 < ‘14’
(f) M1 Finding P(X = 12) is M0
Finding P(X …12) on its own is M0, they must state 12 is not in the CR
Correct conclusion in context.
Must be a rate, e.g. number in/per 10-minute period (not number on its own).
No hypotheses in part (c) then A0
A1
Do not allow comments about the manager’s claim on its own, e.g. The manager’s claim is not
supported.
This is not a ft mark.
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
(b − a )
2
b − 27 3 27 − a 1
4 (i)(a) = or = and = 300 M1M1
b−a 4 b−a 4 12
a = 12 and b = 72 A1
(3)
 k − 10 − '12'  '72'− ( k + 20)
(b)  4P ( X  k − 10 ) = P ( X  k + 20 )   4  = M1
 '72 − 12'  '72 − 12'
4 ( k − 22) = 52 − k  k = 28 A1
(2)
(ii) L U(21, 42) L U(0, 42) S U(5.25, 10.5)
L  42 − L  L  42 − L   42 − L  L
− 2 −   2 or  −  2 S − (10.5 − S )  2 M1
4  4  4  4   4  4
L  25 L  17 or L  25 S  6.25 A1
1 1 1 1
= ( 42 − '25' )  = ('17 '− 0)  + ( 42 − '25' )  (10.5 − '6.25')  M1
21 42 42 5.25
17
= oe A1
21
(4)
Notes Total 9
(i)(a) M1 For setting up a correct equation for the probability or the variance
M1 For setting up a correct equation for the probability and the variance
A1 For a = 12 and b = 72 (correct answers score 3 out of 3)
(b) M1 For an unsimplified equation ft their a and their b
A1 Cao
L  42 − L   42 − L  L
For −   2 or   −  2 or S − (10.5 − S )  2
(ii) M1 4  4   4  4
may be seen in a probability statement allow any letter for L or S
may be implied by L  25 or L  17 or S  6.25
A1 L  25 or L  17 or S  6.25 may be seen in a probability statement or implied by 2nd M1
1
For use of ( 42 − '25' ) 
21
1 1
M1 or ('17 '− 0)  + ( 42 − ' 25' ) 
42 42
1
or (10.5 − '6.25' ) 
5.25
A1 Allow awrt 0.81
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
x
1 1 t2  1 x2 
( 3 − t ) dt = 3t − 
x

1
5 (a)
1 4 4 2 1
or  4 ( 3 − x ) dx = 4 3x − 2  + C M1

1  x2   1  1 (1)2  5
 3 x −  −  3 −  or  3(1) −  + C = 0 and C = −
4  2  2  4 2  8
A1*
1 x2  5
Leading to  3x −  − [for 1 „ x „ 2] *
4 2 8
(2)
1x 1 3
(b) 2 4 dt + F(2) or  4 dx and using + c with F(2) = 8 or 0.25( x − 2) + F(2) M1
x1 1 5
3 4 ( t − 2 ) dt + F(3) or  4 ( x − 2 ) dx and using + c with either F(3) = 8 or F(4) = 1 M1

 0 x 1

 1  3x − x  − 5 1 „ x „ 2
2

 4  
2  8
 A1
 1
F( x) =  ( 2 x − 1) 2 x „ 3 A1
 8 B1
 1  x2 
  − 2x  +1 3  x „ 4
 4 2 
 x4
 1
(5)
(c) P(1.2  X  3.1) = F(3.1) − F(1.2)
 1  (3.1) 2   1 (1.2) 2  5  89
'  − 2(3.1)  + 1 '−   3(1.2) − −  = awrt 0.556 M1 A1
4 2   4 2  8  160
(2)
Notes Total 9
1
 4 ( 3 − x ) dx
x
(a) M1 For a correct method for 1 „ x „ 2 Condone poor notation e.g.
1

1 x2  5
A1* A fully correct solution with substitution seen or C found leading to F( x) =  3 x − −
4 2  8
(b) M1 For a correct method for 2  x „ 3
M1 For a correct method for 3  x „ 4
A1 Third line correct including inequality. Allow < instead of ⩽
A1 Fourth line correct including inequality. Allow < instead of ⩽
B1 First and fifth line correct. Allow “otherwise” for the range on the first or fifth line but not both
For use of F(3.1) − F(1.2) from the correct lines of their F(x) allow ft on their 4th line
(c) M1 1 7 1 1 21
or correct use of f(x) or area e.g.   0.8 + 1 +   0.1
2 10 4 2 40
89 1
A1
For oe or awrt 0.556 NB: Use of F(3.1) with ( 2 x − 1) for 2  x „ 3 gives 0.555 and
160 8
scores M0A0
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
1 3 1 4
6 (a) Box A: P(1) = P(2) = Box B: P(2) = P(5) = B1
4 4 5 5
Totals (T) 5, 6, 8, 9, 11, 12 B1
(1, 2, 2) (1, 2, 5) (1, 5, 5) (2, 2, 2) (2, 2, 5) (2, 5, 5)
B1
[(1, 5, 2)] [(2, 5, 2)]
1 1 1 1  3 1 1  3 
 P(T = 5) =   =  P(T = 6) =   =
4 5 5  100  4 5 5 100 
M1
 P(T = 8) = 2    =    P(T = 9) = 2    =  
1 1 4 8 3 1 4 24
4 5 5 100  4 5 5 100  M1
 P(T = 11) =   =    P(T = 12) =   =  
1 4 4 16 3 4 4 48
4 5 5 100  4 5 5 100  M1

t 5 6 8 9 11 12
P(T = t) 1 3 8  2 24  6  16  4  48  12  A1
= = = =
100 100 100  25  100  25  100  25  100  25 
(7)
(b) m=2 m=5 B1
1 8 3 24  36 
 P ( M = 2 ) =  ' '+ ' '+ '+ ' '=
100 100 100 100 100 
M1

16 48  64 
 P ( M = 5 ) =  ' '+ ' '= or P ( M = 5) = 1 − 'P ( M = 2) '
100 100 100 
M1

m 2 5
P(M = m) 36 64 A1
100 100
(4)
Notes Total 11
(a) B1 All 4 correct probabilities – may be seen in an equation
B1 All 6 totals correct with no extras (ignore units if stated) (condone 8 or 9 listed twice)
All 6 basic combinations correct, either seen or used (implied by the 3rd M1 mark)
B1
Condone any permutation of the 6 basic combinations for this mark
M1 Correct method for one probability (ft their probabilities)
M1 Correct method for five probabilities (ft their probabilities)
M1 Correct method for all six probabilities (ft their probabilities)
A1 cao Need not be in a table but probabilities must be attached to the correct total
(b) B1 For both values of m (no extras) If m = 1 is stated it must be stated that its probability is 0
Ft part (a) For a correct method to find P(M = ‘2’)
M1
For this mark there must only be 2 probability calculations
Ft part (a) For a correct method to find P(M = ‘5’)
M1
For this mark there must only be 2 probability calculations
A1 cao Need not be in a table but probabilities must be attached to the correct total
Question
Scheme Marks
Number
4
1 1 [4]  ax 2  1
7 (a)
2
 8  4a = 1  a = *
16
or [0] ax dx = 0.5   2  = 0.5  a = 16 *
 0
B1*

(1)
1
(b) (i) (By symmetry) b = − B1
16
1 1 1 1
(ii) At (8, 0) 0 = −  8 + c  c = or at (4, 0.25) 0.25 = −  4 + c  c = M1 A1
16 2 16 2
(3)
(c) E( X ) = 4 B1
4 1  8  1 1 
E( X 2 ) =  x 2  x  dx +  x 2  − ' ' x + ' '  dx M1
0
 16  4
 16 2 
8
1 4  1 4 1 3 
=  x 4  + '− x + x ' A1ft
64 0
 64 6 4
 256   32    56 
= 4 +  −64 +  −  −4 +    = 3  dM1A1
 3   3 
56 2 8
Var( X ) = −4 = * A1*
3 3
(6)
2
1 1 1 1
Q1 Q
(d)
2
 Q1   Q1 =
16 4
or 0 16
x dx = 0.25 →
32
= 0.25 1
M1

Q1 = 8 = 2.828... or Q3 = 8 − 8 = 5.171... awrt 2.83 or awrt 5.17 A1

Q1 = 8 = 2.828... and Q3 = 8 − 8 = 5.171... awrt 2.83 and awrt 5.17 A1
(3)
(e) 50% lies between Q1 and Q3
 
Statistician’s claim: P  '4 '− 8  X  '4 '+ 8  = P ( 2.37  X  5.63) M1
 3 3
 
as this is outside Q1 and Q3 , > 0.5/ statistician’s claim is correct*
or A1*
P ( 2.37  X  5.63) = 0.6498...  0.5 / statistician’s claim is correct*
(2)
Notes Total 15
1 1 1
Allow any correct equivalent method. E.g.  4  4a =  a = , integration, use of
(a) B1* 2 2 16
gradients, etc.
Answer is given so a complete correct method with no incorrect working must be seen
(b) B1 Cao
M1 Use of equation of line to find c e.g. y − 0 = − 1 ( x − 8) or use of integration or any valid method
16
A1 Cao correct answer scores M1A1
(c) B1 For E( X ) = 4 This may be seen at any point in the solution

 x f ( x) dx x n → x n +1 for both parts of pdf (ignore limits) ft their values of b and c

2
M1 For use of
A1ft For correct integration of either of the 2 parts, ft their values of b and c
For use of correct limits in either part (dep on previous M1)
44 56
depM1 may be implied by sight of 4 or but not implied by
3 3
allow ft on their values of b and c which you may need to check
 256   32   56 44
A1 For complete correct substitution 4 +  −64 +  −  −4 +   or allow = 4 +
 3   3  3 3
8
A1* Answer is given so need to see use of Var( X ) = E( X 2 ) − E( X ) 2 = with values substituted
3
For correct method for either Q1 or Q3
(d) M1 1 1 1 Q11 Q12
e.g.  Q1 
2 16
 Q1 = ,
4 0 16 x dx = 0.25 →
32
= 0.25

A1 For either awrt 2.83 allow 8 oe or awrt 5.17 allow 8 − 8 oe

A1 For either awrt 2.83 allow 8 oe and awrt 5.17 allow 8 − 8 oe
(e) M1 For use of P (  −   X   +  ) ft their  implied by awrt 2.37 and awrt 5.63

Must state that this > 0.5 as it is outside Q1 and Q3

Allow ‘2.83’ > ‘2.37’ and ‘5.16’ < ‘5.63’
A1* or a correct probability calculated awrt 0.65
Answer is given so no incorrect working can be seen.
If their values are not consistent with the statistician’s claim, then A0 here.
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