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Project 1

The document outlines the development of an AI-Driven Portfolio Optimization & Risk Management Platform that utilizes reinforcement learning to create and manage portfolios in real-time. Targeting quant traders and asset managers, it features a fully open-source tech stack and advanced capabilities such as automated training pipelines and explainable AI metrics. The project highlights expertise in AI engineering, quantitative finance, and software engineering, with plans for future enhancements including live trading integration and support for multi-asset strategies.

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kohanfikr
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
34 views5 pages

Project 1

The document outlines the development of an AI-Driven Portfolio Optimization & Risk Management Platform that utilizes reinforcement learning to create and manage portfolios in real-time. Targeting quant traders and asset managers, it features a fully open-source tech stack and advanced capabilities such as automated training pipelines and explainable AI metrics. The project highlights expertise in AI engineering, quantitative finance, and software engineering, with plans for future enhancements including live trading integration and support for multi-asset strategies.

Uploaded by

kohanfikr
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Project 1

Name: AI-Driven Portfolio Optimization & Risk Management Platform

One-sentence description
A real-time, reinforcement-learning–powered system that ingests market
ticks to construct, rebalance, and hedge portfolios with explainable risk
metrics—all on a fully open-source stack.

Use case & target user


Quant traders and asset managers at fintech startups seeking dynamic,
data-driven portfolio strategies and live risk monitoring without vendor lock-
in.

Tech stack
• Data ingestion & streaming: Apache Kafka, Apache Spark Structured
Streaming
• Historical time-series store: TimescaleDB (PostgreSQL extension)
• Feature store: Feast (using Redis backend)
• RL modeling & backtest: Python, PyTorch, Stable Baselines3 (PPO/DDPG),
Zipline backtester
• Hyperparameter sweeps & tracking: Optuna + MLflow Tracking +
TensorBoard
• Containerization & orchestration: Docker, upstream Kubernetes (k8s), Helm
• Real-time inference: KServe on k8s
• Object storage: MinIO (S3-compatible)
• Infrastructure as code: Terraform (open source)
• Monitoring & dashboards: Prometheus, Grafana, Streamlit with SHAP plots

Advanced features
• Fully automated RL training pipeline with Optuna hyperparameter tuning
• Sub-second inference API for rebalancing signals via KServe
• Walk-forward backtester with live paper-trading feed
• Explainable-AI dashboard (SHAP) for portfolio driver attribution and VaR
• Self-healing k8s streaming pipelines with Kafka Connect dead-letter queues
• Cost-aware autoscaling using Kubernetes HPA + spot-instance scheduling

Resume-pitch bullet
“Built a 100% open-source RL portfolio optimizer with PyTorch, Kafka
streaming, TimescaleDB & KServe—automating rebalancing, backtests, and
SHAP-driven risk explainability, achieving a simulated 12% Sharpe uplift.”
Below is a deep‐dive into your “AI-Driven Portfolio Optimization & Risk
Management Platform,” covering both the high-level concept and the nuts-
and-bolts implementation. Think of it in three layers—Concept & Use Case,
System Architecture & Data Flow, and Core Technologies & Engineering Best
Practices—each illustrating how you’re blending AI research, quantitative
finance, and production-grade software engineering.

1. Concept & Use Case


• Goal: Build a fully open-source, end-to-end system that ingests live
market data, learns dynamic trading strategies via reinforcement
learning, executes (or simulates) trades, and provides transparent risk
metrics.
• Users: Quantitative traders, algo hedge funds, fintech startups—
anyone who needs automated, adaptive portfolio construction without
black-box vendor dependencies.
• Value Proposition:
– Real-time responsiveness (sub-second rebalance signals)
– Continuous learning (online RL updates + walk-forward backtests)
– Explainability (SHAP-driven attribution, VaR decomposition)
– Resilience & cost efficiency (self-healing pipelines, spot nodes,
autoscaling)

2. System Architecture & Data Flow


A. Market Tick Ingestion
– Apache Kafka collects tick-level feeds from exchanges or data
vendors.
– Kafka Connect plugs feed adapters into a streaming pipeline; mis-
formatted messages route to a Dead-Letter Queue for later inspection.
– Spark Structured Streaming consumes topics, does windowed
aggregations (VWAP, realized vol) and writes enriched time-series to
TimescaleDB.

B. Feature Store & Historical Backtesting


– Feast serves both online and offline feature requests. Redis backend
enables sub-millisecond lookups for live inference.
– For backtesting, Zipline pulls the same enriched features from TimescaleDB
to replay historical episodes. A custom walk-forward harness splits data into
rolling train/test blocks.

C. Reinforcement-Learning Pipeline
– Algorithms: PPO and DDPG implementations in Stable Baselines3.
– Training orchestration:
• Optuna handles hyperparameter sweeps (learning rate, clip range, network
size).
• MLflow (plus TensorBoard) logs experiments—metrics, parameters, model
checkpoints.
– Automated triggers: New data landed in TimescaleDB can spin up training
jobs via Argo/Kubernetes CronJobs or event-based functions.

D. Model Serving & Inference


– KServe on Kubernetes exposes a REST/gRPC endpoint.
– When a tick arrives, the Streamlit (or custom) client queries KServe for
action probabilities or portfolio weights.
– The decision engine writes desired trades back into a Kafka “orders” topic
for execution or paper-trading.

E. Risk Management & Explainability


– SHAP: after each inference, compute SHAP values on the feature vector to
attribute which factors drove the portfolio shift.
– VaR and CVaR: leverage library implementations (e.g., riskfolio-lib) on the
live PnL return series stored in TimescaleDB.
– Grafana dashboards display exposures, risk decomposition, P&L heatmaps;
Streamlit serves interactive SHAP plots for deep dives.

F. Infrastructure, Deployment & Operations


– Everything dockerized; Helm charts manage the Kubernetes deployments.
– Terraform defines cloud resources (k8s clusters, MinIO buckets, managed
Prometheus).
– Autoscaling: Kubernetes HPA on CPU/memory plus custom metrics (Kafka
lag, model-latency SLO) trigger scale-ups. Spot-instance groups save costs.
– Monitoring & Alerting:
• Prometheus scrapes custom application metrics (latencies, RL reward
curves, backtest errors).
• Alertmanager fires Slack/email alerts on anomalies—e.g., backtest failure,
inference latency breach, Kafka consumer lag.

3. Core Technologies & Engineering Practices


A. Reinforcement Learning Research
– Formulation: State = feature vector (price history, vol, macro-
indicators); Action = portfolio weight vector; Reward = risk-adjusted
PnL (e.g., Sharpe, Sortino).
– Exploration vs. Exploitation: Tweak PPO’s clip range and entropy
bonus; DDPG’s OU-noise in continuous action spaces.
– Walk-forward validation ensures temporal leakage is prevented.
B. Quantitative Finance Foundations
– Portfolio Theory: Understand mean-variance, risk metrics (VaR/CVaR),
portfolio constraints (no-short, weight bounds).
– Transaction Costs & Slippage: Model realistic execution costs in the
backtester.
– Stress Testing: Simulate tail events (e.g., 1987 crash, 2020 drawdown) and
validate RL policy robustness.

C. Production-Grade Software Engineering


– Modular codebase: Separate packages for data ingestion, feature
engineering, model training, serving, and monitoring.
– Continuous Integration/Deployment:
• GitHub Actions pipelines lint, test (unit + integration), and build Docker
images.
• Canary deployments in Kubernetes for new model versions.
– Observability: Structured logs (JSON), distributed tracing (OpenTelemetry),
and real-time dashboards.
– Infrastructure as Code: Immutable clusters; versioned Terraform modules.

4. How This Project Showcases Your Skills


• AI-Engineering: You’ve end-to-end–built and tuned RL agents, used
SHAP for interpretability, and orchestrated ML workflows with
Optuna/MLflow.
• Quant Finance: You demonstrate mastery of time-series data,
portfolio optimization theory, realistic backtesting, and risk metrics.
• Software Engineering: You’ve deployed a microservices architecture
on Kubernetes, written resilient streaming apps, and implemented
CI/CD plus robust monitoring.

5. Next Steps & Extensions


– Live Trading Hook-up: Integrate with a broker API for autopilot
execution under strict risk controls.
– Multi-Asset & Derivatives: Expand state space and actions to handle
options, futures, FX.
– Alternative Data: Plug in sentiment signals, satellite imagery, credit-
card data via additional Kafka topics.
– Collaborative Platform: Add role-based access, audit logs, and policy-
driven governance for enterprise adoption.

With this platform, you not only illustrate advanced AI/ML research in
reinforcement learning, but also deep quantitative finance expertise and
production-grade software engineering—all key pillars for an AI Engineer
eyeing quant finance or fintech roles.

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