DRM Unit 5
DRM Unit 5
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such maps have a large number of users, including several government departments and
private agencies as well as NGO’s involved in any type of development, construction of
disaster management work.
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At site investigation scale, the hazard maps are made to plan and design of engineering
structures (buildings, bridges, roads etc), and in detailed engineering measures to mitigate
natural hazards (retaining walls, check dams etc.)
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Several earthquakes ranging in magnitudes between 4.0 and 6.0 were reported in
the recent past (Seismotectonic Atlas of India and its environs 2000).
Fig. 5.2.1
The waves spread out from the focus or source of an earthquake in all directions.
As the waves travel away from the focus, they grow gradually weaker. So, the
ground generally shakes less far away from the focus.
Most earthquakes occur along the boundaries of the tectonic plates. If you live close
to a plate boundary, you will experience more earthquakes than if you lived far
from the boundary. For example, many countries around the Pacific Ocean are often
rocked by earthquakes because they are located near the boundary of the
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Pacific plate.
Earthquakes occur every day. But most are too weak to be felt by humans. More
than a million earthquakes occur harmlessly every year. In comparison, damaging
earthquakes occur less frequently. The table below shows the frequency of
earthquakes worldwide.
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Rumbling sound may sometimes be heard.
Intensity V. strong
Generally felt by most people indoors and outdoors. Many sleeping people are
awakened. Some are frightened; some run outdoors. Strong shaking and rocking
are felt throughout the building.
Hanging objects swing violently. Dining utensils clatter and clink; some are broken.
Small, light and unstable objects may fall or overturn.
Liquids spill from filled open containers. Standing vehicles rock noticeably.
Shaking of leaves and twigs of trees is noticeable.
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The present study tries to put things on perspective about the seismic vulnerability
of buildings in the region, estimating the damage if an earthquake of seismic
intensity and magnitude of as in 1991 struck the town again.
The study area is the municipality town administratively divided into nine wards.
The Ward No. 3 of Gyansu and Ward No. 5 of Gangori making the western and
eastern boundary respectively.
There is also a good settlement on the southern bank of the river, but the
municipality only covers the northern bank of the river with the area of
2.51 [Link]. The town has crescent shape with a considerable amount of
longitudinal variation.
Thus the average length of town is manifold of the average breadth. The perimeter
of the town is 15.86 km, mostly covering the lengths along the River Bhagirathi in
the south and southeastern extremities, while the Varunavat Parvat marks its
northern boundary.
The town is located in the longitudinal valley of river Bhagirathi, the south and
southeastern boundaries are marked by the Bhagirathi, while a small area in the
north-eastern flank of town is drained by Asi Ganga, a tributary of Bhagirathi.
According to 2012-13 survey of Municipal Corporation, Uttarkashi, the town has
3184 buildings in total.
There was significant damage to many buildings in the past earthquake of 1991.
The number of buildings has grown since then, but so is the craft in the building.
Now, most of the buildings are reinforced concrete frame building with brick infill
construction and are taking over the stone masonry construction that is more
prevalent at the time.
The scenario taken has the same occurrence time as the original earthquake on 2:53
am in the morning.
The present study analyses and calculate the damages to a prospective earthquake
of same magnitude and intensity as that of Uttarkashi strikes it again.
The damages well exceed from the previous damages that the town experienced in
1991 due to the unplanned extension of town now and a significant increase in
population.
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Water management and crop yields can be improved by means of increased use of
reliable methods for estimating crop evapotranspiration (ET).
More than a score of methods have been proposed and used over the past 50
years.
Selection of the preferred method should be based on the time step required, site
aridity, equipment costs and operation and maintenance requirements, quality of
the weather data available and the required simplicity of computations.
5.3.2 Drought Studies using Remote Sensing and GIS - Case Study
National Remote Sensing Agency of India has assessed the drought based on the
analysis of vegetation index map and the greenness map as well as vegetation index
statistics for bimonthly periods for each taluka.
The satellite based drought assessment and monitoring methodology was
developed based on the relationship obtained between previous years
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) profiles with the corresponding
agricultural performance available at district level and their relative difference in
the current year.
The National Agricultural Drought Assessment and Monitoring System
(NADAMS) in a view of the whole country coverage, envisages the use of data from
NOAA satellites with 1.1 km resolution, for generation of weekly composited
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) maps of country.
The NDVI is a transformation of reflected radiation in the visible and near infrared
bands of NOAA AVHRR and is a function of green leaf and biomass.
The various approaches presented above have not tried to quantify the water
deficiency during an agricultural drought, which is relevant from the water
resources engineering point of view.
It is tried to quantity the water deficiency during an agricultural drought and the
method considers the soil moisture in the form of an Antecedent Precipitation Index
(API).
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Flash floods are characterized by an intense, high velocity torrent of water triggered
by torrential rain falling within a short amount of time within the vicinity or on
nearby elevated terrain.
They can also occur via sudden release of water from an upstream levee or a dam.
Flash floods are very dangerous and destructive not only because of the force of the
water, but also the hurtling debris that is often swept up in the flow.
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The main goals of this research are the estimation of flood damages using the
KULTU Risk methodology and the comparing of the projected costs with the
observed one.
The case study is the 2002 flood in Eilenburg, a town in Germany.
According to KULTU Risk methodology, two major classes of data are considered
to evaluate flood risk damage : hydraulic data as regards Hazard and economic
information to assess Exposure and Vulnerability.
This study shows the possibility to extend the lesson learned with the Eilenburg
case study in other similar contexts.
The economic impact of floods has grown significantly over the past four decades.
In particular, looking at the natural hazards damage data provided by the
International Disaster Database one can see a significant increase in terms of
frequency of floods and related costs.
Furthermore, similar trends could be also appreciated by analyzing other types of
flood losses, such as the number of people affected by floods, homeless, injured or
killed.
5.4.5 Urban Pluvial Flooding : A Qualitative Case Study of Cause, Effect and
Nonstructural Mitigation
Historically, flood risk management in the United Kingdom has mainly
concentrated on river and coastal flooding, yet flooding from surface water runoff
is a risk to urban areas.
A comprehensive study of the causes, the impact and the consequences as well as
the management of serious pluvial flooding in Heywood, Greater Manchester, in
2004 and 2006 revealed that the victims of the floods were unprepared, ill- informed
and confused as to responsibilities before, during and after the event.
Householders had to rely on their insurers for loss mitigation, but the response of
the insurance industry was varied and inconsistent, and there were difficulties in
building in resilience after the event.
In 2006, only one property was on the Office of the Water Regulator DG 5 Register
on the basis of previous flooding.
Thus the area falls between the responsibilities of the Local Authority (LA), the
environment agency and the water utility.
The people affected do not know whom to turn to for assistance.
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Better forecast and effective synergy
Weather forecasting needs to become more effective.
To achieve this, not only the science of forecasting but also its dissemination and
follow-on actions after the forecast need to be improved. Agencies such as India
Meteorology Department (IMD), Central Water Commission (CWC) and Indian
National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) should have pre- notified
national and state-level agency liaison protocols for appropriate information and
warning.
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5.5.3 Wildland Fire Behaviour Case Studies and Fuel Models for
Landscape-Scale Fire Modeling
This work presents the extension of a physical model for the spreading of surface
fire at landscape scale. In previous work, the model was validated at laboratory
scale for fire spreading across litters.
The model was then modified to consider the structure of actual vegetation and was
included in the wildland fire calculation system Forefire that allows converting the
two-dimensional model of fire spread to three dimensions, taking into account
spatial information.
Two wildland fire behavior case studies were elaborated and used as a basis to test
the simulator.
Both fires were reconstructed, paying attention to the vegetation mapping, fire
history, and meteorological data.
The local calibration of the simulator required the development of appropriate fuel
models for shrubland vegetation (maquis) for use with the model of fire spread.
This study showed the capabilities of the simulator during the typical drought
season characterizing the Mediterranean climate when most wildfires occur.
In this paper, two wildland fire behaviour case studies were reconstructed to test
the performances of a physical model of fire spread coupled with Forefire simulator.
Fuel models were developed to consider typical shrubland vegetation for these
Mediterranean areas.
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The asynchronous front tracking method used to propagate the fire front allowed
simulating both case studies with a computational time significantly lower than real
time (about 30 s simulation for 4 hours of spreading).
Such simulation times opens the way for new practices in wildfire simulation,
where many fighting scenarios can be tested in a short amount of time and many
virtual fires can be started from a large number of possible ignition points.
Simulated results were in good agreements with observation for the fire perimeter
and the rates of spread in both case studies.
The sensitivity of the model to wind field and fuel models was studied. It was
shown that custom fuel models improve the coherency of the simulation. These fuel
models are characterized by a higher live to dead fuel ratio, in comparison with the
standard fuel model FM4 of Anderson.
Local wind field data increase the performance of the simulation by depicting the
local increase in rate of spread. However, two case studies are not sufficient to
validate the simulator.
Information derived from databases of actual fires that occurred in Mediterranean
areas will be used to provide an extensive calibration and validation of the
simulator.
Enhancements of the simulation system are planned in order to model the cooling
effect of the wind during counterflow fires and to take into account the effects of
the relative humidity on the fire dynamics during the night.
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It occurred on the night of 2-3 December 1984 at the Union Carbide India Limited
(UCIL) pesticide plant in Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India.
A leak of methyl isocyanate gas and other chemicals from the plant resulted in the
exposure of hundreds of thousands of people.
A government official declaration in 2006 stated the leak caused 558,125 injuries
including 38,478 temporary partial and approximately 3,900 severely and
permanently disabling injuries.
There were mass funerals and mass cremations as well as disposal of bodies in the
Narmada River. 170,000 people were treated at hospitals and temporary
dispensaries. 2,000 buffalo, goats, and other animals were collected and buried.
The gas cloud was composed mainly of materials denser than the surrounding air,
stayed close to the ground and spread outwards through the surrounding
community.
The early effects of exposure were coughing, vomiting, severe eye irritation and a
feeling of suffocation.
Owing to their height, children and other people of shorter height inhaled higher
concentrations.
The events in Bhopal revealed that growing industrialization in developing
countries without concurrent evolution in safety regulations could have terrible
consequences.
Even without enforcement, international standards could provide norms for
measuring performance of individual companies engaged in hazardous activities
such as the manufacture of pesticides and other toxic chemicals in India National
governments and international agencies should focus on widely applicable
techniques for corporate responsibility and accident prevention as much in the
developing world context as in advanced industrial nations specifically, prevention
should include risk reduction in plant location and design and safety legislation.
Local governments clearly cannot allow industrial facilities to be placed within
urban areas, regardless of the evolution of land use over time. Industry and
government need to bring proper financial support to local communities so they
can provide medical and other necessary services to reduce morbidity, mortality
and material loss in the case of industrial accidents.
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The Bhopal disaster could have changed the nature of the chemical industry and
caused a reexamination of the necessity to produce such potentially harmful
products in the first place.
Safety procedures were minimal and neither the American owners nor the local
management seemed to regard them as necessary. When the disaster struck there
was no disaster plan that could be set into action.
We need to introduce a system of laws which will make them liable for higher
standards of safety.
Multinationals operating in India, must agree as a condition of doing business that
they will submit to the jurisdiction of the Indian courts both civil and criminal.
They must agree to be responsible for the acts of their subsidiaries and not disown
them like rats leaving a sinking ship
Prevention is better than cures. Lesson learned from this manmade disaster is to
understand the nature of disaster before it occurs and implement better disaster
management system in place.
When series of accidents occurred frequently in Bhopal plan, if prevented on time
properly by Union Carbide India Limited they could avoided this nightmare.
The dead may not have been so unlucky after all. The end came horribly, but at least
the nightmare was brief.
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The operators were able to only partially restore the specified test power, which put
the reactor in a potentially unstable condition.
This risk was not made evident in the operating instructions, so the operators
proceeded with the electrical test.
Upon test completion, the operators triggered a reactor shutdown, but a
combination of unstable conditions and reactor design flaws caused an
uncontrolled nuclear chain reaction instead.
A large amount of energy was suddenly released, vaporising superheated cooling
water and rupturing the reactor core in a highly destructive steam explosion.
This was immediately followed by an open-air reactor core fire that released
considerable airborne radioactive contamination for about nine days that
precipitated onto parts of the USSR and western Europe, before being finally
contained on 4 May 1986.
The fire gradually released about the same amount of contamination as the initial
explosion.
As a result of rising ambient radiation levels off-site, a 10-kilometre (6.2 mi) radius
exclusion zone was created 36 hours after the accident.
About 49,000 people were evacuated from the area, primarily from Pripyat.
The exclusion zone was later increased to 30 kilometres (19 mi) radius when a
further 68,000 people were evacuated from the wider area.
The reactor explosion killed two of the reactor operating staff.
In the emergency response that followed, 134 station staff and firemen were
hospitalized with acute radiation syndrome due to absorbing high doses of ionizing
radiation.
Of these 134 people, 28 died in the days to months afterward and approximately 14
suspected radiation-induced cancer deaths followed within the next 10 years.
Among the wider population, an excess of 15 childhood thyroid cancer deaths were
documented as of 2011.
The United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation
(UNSCEAR) has, at multiple times, reviewed all the published research on the
incident and found that at present, fewer than 100 documented deaths are likely to
be attributable to increased exposure to radiation.
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Closely monitor radiation levels in food - A report from the UN's scientific
committee on the effects of atomic radiation found that a rise in thyroid cancer was
the only substantial medical legacy of Chernobyl in the general population.
The cancers came about because Soviet authorities allowed children to continue to
drink heavily contaminated milk.
As a result, many children received high doses of radiation to the thyroid.
Comply with safety rules - International reports have blamed the poor design of
the Soviet RBMK (High Power Channel-type Reactor), a lack of safety culture at the
plant and errors by operators for the Chernobyl disaster.
The accident illustrates the importance of complying with basic safety principles
for nuclear power plants.
Plan ahead - Experts have suggested that the Chernobyl accident demonstrated the
need to establish and support a high-level national emergency response system in
case of man-made accidents.
5.7 Space Based Inputs for Disaster Mitigation and Management and Field
Works Related to Disaster Management
India is prone to many natural disasters like floods, landslides, cyclones, forest fires,
earthquakes, drought, etc. Satellites provide synoptic observations of the natural disasters
at regular intervals that helps in better planning and management of disasters. In order to
better understand the risks due to such disasters, it is necessary to integrate satellite and
field based observations and to work towards risk reduction principles. Satellite
communication and navigation systems also play an important role in disaster
management with improved technological options.
Disaster Management Support (DMS) Programme, comprehensively addresses various
aspects of natural disasters in the country, using space based inputs. ISRO disseminates
relevant information in interactive geo-spatial domain through various geoportals like
Bhuvan, National Database for Emergency Management and MOSDAC for the
administrators to better understand the impact and for improved decision support.
ISRO provides the satellite based near real stime information support to Central
Ministries / Departments and State Ministries / Departments, prior during and after major
natural disasters. In addition, ISRO also provides capacity building in use of Space
technology inputs in Disaster Management Support.
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ISRO is actively involved with various other countries with regard to disaster
management, through international frameworks, such as, International Charter ‘Space &
Major Disasters’, Sentinel Asia, UNESCAP and so on.
A) Cyclones
Preparedness
With large coast line, India is susceptible for cyclones. It is important to understand the
impacts of cyclone, with respect to its earlier footprints, low lying areas, etc, wherein
satellite images provide such inputs. Using historical satellite data and Digital surface
models, these inputs are derived.
Early warning
ISRO uses geo-stationary and low earth orbit satellites for providing experimental
inputs on cyclogenesis, cyclone track, cyclone intensity. INSAT series of satellites with
frequent imaging provide the cyclone parameters for near real time analysis.
Response
Near real time information on inundation due to cyclones is derived, using optical and
microwave SAR data and the information is provided to the concerned departments.
During 2018, ISRO provided information on inundation to Odisha, Andhra Pradesh States
during TITLI, PHETHAI, etc.
B) Floods
Preparedness
Based on integration of historic satellite datasets acquired during major floods in
different States, flood hazard map layers were prepared for Assam, Bihar, Odisha, Andhra
Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal and Entire Country.
Early Warning
Using hydrological modelling of satellite and ground based hydro-meteorological
inputs and digital elevation models, experimental spatial flood early warning systems are
established for selected river reaches like Andhra Pradesh (Godavari), Odisha (Mahanadi)
and Assam (Brahmaputra).
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Response
Near real time information on flood inundation is derived on an operational basis using
optical and microwave SAR data and the information is provided to the concerned
departments of Kerala, Assam, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh States.
C) Landslides
Preparedness
Landslides cause huge damages, particularly along pilgrim routes. ISRO prepared
Landslide Hazard Zonation maps for pilgrim routes in Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand
and [Link] addition, ISRO is also preparing seasonal landslide inventory on regular
[Link] satellite based inputs are very useful for preparedness.
Early Warning
Experimental Landslide Early Warning System for Rainfall Triggered Landslides is
carried out for the following routes namely Rishikesh-Badrinath, Rishikesh-Uttarkashi-
Gaumukh,Chamoli-Okhimath Rudraprayag-Kedarnath and Pithoragarh-Malpa in
Uttarakhand during specific seasons.
Response
Near real time information on landslides is derived regularly during major landslide
events in the country and disseminated through Bhuvan geoportal. Areal extent of
landslide is also estimated using satellite data and DSMs. In addition, in case of river
blockade due to landslide, necessary inputs are provided to Govt. from time to time.
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Landslides - Karnataka
Landslides occurred in Kodagu, Karnataka due to heavy rainfall in August, 2018. These
events resulted in many damages to existing infrastructure in Dakshina Kannada and
Kodagu districts. Over 900 landslides were identified in various taluks of Kodagu,
Dakshina Kannada and other districts of Karnataka using synoptic satellite data coverages.
These were made available to GSI, Karnataka State Disaster Monitoring Centre and others.
D) Forest fires
Preparedness
ISRO prepares Forest Fire Regime maps using historical forest fires observed from
satellite data. These maps help in identifying critical areas where forest fires are prevalent
and the average duration of forest fires. These details help the decision makers.
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Early warning
Many attempts are made to use multi-criteria approach in GIS environment to provide
early warning and vulnerability maps. More research in such area further continued on
experimental basis.
Response
ISRO regularly prepares Forest Fire alert maps using satellite data and provides to FSI
and other State Forest Departments. This near real time data dissemination through
Bhuvan Geoportal and SMS alerts help forest department for taking quick action. During
2018, burnt area assessment was done for Uttarakhand, Jammu & Kashmir and Tamilnadu.
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In November 1970, for example, a tropical cyclone, combined with a high tide,
struck southeastern Bangladesh, leaving more than 300,000 people dead and
1.3 million homeless.
In May 1985, a comparable cyclone and storm surge hit the same area. "This time -
there was better local dissemination of disaster warnings and the people were better
prepared to respond to them.
The loss of life, although still high, was 10,000 or about 3 percent of that in 1970.
When a devastating cyclone struck the same area of Bangladesh in May 1994, fewer
than 1,000 people died. 1977 cyclone in Andra Pradesh, India killed 10,000
people, while a similar storm in the same area 13 years later killed only 910.
The dramatic difference -was due to the fact that a new early-warning system
connected with radio stations to alert people in low-lying areas, was put into place.
On the other side, there are many examples where absence of an alert and warning
system resulted into huge number of casualties and extensive damage of property.
Bhopal gas leak, 1999 super cyclone in Orissa and 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami are
few of the recent example in India where "timely alert" could have saved millions
of lives and enormous property.
Media is usually defined as impersonal means of communication by which written,
visual or auditory or sometimes a combination of such messages are transmitted
directly to the audiences". In simpler terms, the word media denotes the means of
communication with large number of people spread over communities, cities or
countries through written or printed word or sound and voice or visual images or
a combination ofthese.
By the definition itself, we understand that media is all organised means of reaching
large number of people, quickly, timely effectively and efficiently. There are two
main characteristics of media.
It can reach millions of people in short time; even instantaneously.
Audio media transcends the limits of illiteracy and the visual media can be
effective in a multilingual society as well.
It is cost effective and generally user-friendly.
Generally, media provide one way communication I.e. to the receivmg people.
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Television, radio, newspaper, magazines, audio and video as well as movies are
examples of media. These are very useful in the multilingual traditional and largely
illiterate society in India.
Types of media : Media may be of various kind; but in disaster management,
following types of media are important :
Print media - Print media (newspapers etc.) have made tremendous progress in India
since 1780, when the first Indian newspaper 'The Bengal Gazette' appeared.
After Independence, the mass media assumed great significance. As per official-
records, more than 25000 different newspapers, magazines and bulletins are being
published from various states in the country in various languages.
Broadcast media - They comprise radio and television. Messages are transmitted
by these media through satellite and received by viewers and listeners at distant
places of the country very quickly. Radio and T.V. reach more number of people
than print media. In disaster warning and creating awareness, broadcast media are
most effective especially a large multilingual country like India with low level of
literacy. Broadcast media are sometimes termed as Electronic Media although the
latter term would include audio video cassettes.
Display media - This comprises the following :
Hoardings or Billboards or illuminated signs which can be displayed at busy
public places like bus stands; railway stations, parks, etc.
Wall paintings and posters on common places including railway stations, airports
providing specific awareness.
Small panels on lamp posts or inside or outside buses, railway compartments,
taxis etc.
Banners
Window displays
Sky balloons in trade fairs
Small handbi lis, leaflets.
Exhibitions and Fairs where special pavilions may be arranged to deal with the
theme of disaster management.
A) Informative role
Media can play informative role in all the three situations :
j) Pre-disaster
ii) At the time of disaster; and
iii) Post-disaster
In Pre-disaster situation, knowledge of disaster vulnerability of the community is
very important. In monsoon season, rainfall predictions, water level in different
rivers, water flow rate, possible breach of embankment etc. are the pieces of
information extremely useful for the people living in the highly vulnerable areas.
Media can highlight some of the important mitigation measures, which community
should take up in the vulnerable zones of a natural disaster. Similarly, some of the
success stories of water-shed management in drought mitigation, can be useful in
other drought affected areas of the country.
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B) Suggestive role
In a disaster situation, there could be many mitigation measures available.
Sometimes it is difficult to find out the most suitable option for the specific disaster.
For example, Flood is a very common natural disaster. There are many states which
are prone to this disaster like Assam. U.P. Bihar, and West Bengal. .In this context,
media has a significant role in providing suitable suggestions for political attention
and public understanding for most acceptable options.
Similarly, media has a role in checking activities which might aggravate the adverse
impacts of disasters. In the process of rehabilitation and reconstruction, media can
be used to muster expert opinion and solutions, e.g,'-
Models of houses uitable building material suitable topography for building new
houses
Do's and Don't in the construction work.
Similar suggestions can be provided in the retrofitting of weaker structures and
houses in the earthquake vulnerable areas.
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C) Analytical role
The most critical role of media is analytical. This approach can be applied in analysis
of
Disaster preparedness
Disaster mitigation
Disaster relief
Disaster rehabilitation
Disaster management
Role of various agencies
There are preparedness plans for each disaster, After the disaster, the effectiveness
of plan and lessons learnt from the disaster should be analysed in a constructive
way.
It will certainly improve the plan for future use. Similarly, if there are different
mitigation approaches used by Government and non-Governmental Organisations,
the media can highlight both and strive to evolve a balance of approach.
This type of success stories can be replicated in other parts of the country in similar
situations.
The analytical role of media is specialy helpful in rehabilitation and. reconstruction-
work after landslide or earthquake disaster.
The Latur earthquake rehabilitation of more than 50 villages is a good example of
this kind. The media can give views of various role players about the success or
failure of their programme so that it can be a lesson for the authorities and the
mistakes committed once are not repeated in similar circumstances.
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AKSAYA COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY
DEPARTMENT OF COMUTER SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
UINT - V
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