Lagoons PDF
Lagoons PDF
Summary
The principle that the net energy delivered by a tidal pool can be
increased by pumping extra water into the pool at high tide or by
pumping extra water out of the pool at low tide is well known in
the industry. On paper, pumping can potentially enhance the net
power delivered by a factor of about four. However, pumping seems
generally to be viewed as a minor optional extra, delivering only
a modest power enhancement. Two possible reasons why pumping
is not emphasized in tidal designs are that increasing the vertical
water range introduces additional costs (for example, higher walls),
and that alternating between pumping and generating worsens the
intermittency-of-supply problem from which simple tide pools suf-
fer.
The intermittency-of-supply problem also causes problems for
wind. How can we switch to wind power if the wind might stop
blowing for two days at a time? Chemical or kinetic-energy storage
systems are an economical way to smooth out the fluctuations of
wind power on a time-scale of minutes, but what about hours and
days?
Perhaps a shift of perspective on tidal lagoons is helpful. I sketch
designs for a large pumped-storage system located at sea-level with
a dual purpose: first, it can turn power that is poorly matched
to demand into high-value demand-following power; and second, it
can simultaneously serve as a tidal power station. Large designs
with a capacity of several gigawatts are the most economical.
1
16
14 Figure 1. Cambridge mean wind
12 speed in metres per second,
10 daily (heavy line), and
8
6 half-hourly (light line) during
4 2006. The lower figure shows
2 detail from the upper. Thanks
0 to Digital Technology Group,
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
14
Computer laboratory,
12 Cambridge This weather station
10 is on the roof of the Gates
8 building, roughly 10 m high.
6 Wind speeds at a height of 50 m
4
2 are usually about 25% bigger.
0
Mar 14 Apr 1
30
25
Figure 2. Cairngorm mean wind
speed in metres per second,
20
daily (heavy line), and
15
half-hourly (light line), during
10 six months of 2006. Thanks to
5 Heriot–Watt University Physics
0 Department.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
4. The facility could also buy electricity from the national grid
for pumped storage, just like Dinorwig.
Rough models
Let’s assume a tidal range of 2h = 4 m throughout. I’ll also assume
that hydroelectric generators have an efficiency of 90% and that
pumps have an efficiency of 85%. (These figures are based on the
pumped storage system at Dinorwig, whose round-trip efficiency is
about 75%. I am not sure what the best figures are for low-head
tidal turbines. In their paper based on La Rance, Shaw and Watson
[2003a] assume pumping efficiencies up to 66%, with best efficiency
at large head, and generating efficiency 80%.)
Let’s start by finding some benchmarks for energy production.
where T is the time from high tide to low tide. We can express this
as the power without pumping, scaled up by a boost factor
1
,
1−ǫ
which is a factor of about 4.
Tidal amplitude Optimal boost height Power Power
h b with pumping without pumping
(m) (m) (W/m2 ) (W/m2 )
0.5 3.3 0.9 0.2
1.0 6.5 3.5 0.8
2.0 13 14 3.3
3.0 20 31 7.4
4.0 26 56 13
Multiple-lagoon solutions
Using multiple pools – for example, a high pool and a low pool –
doesn’t increase the deliverable power, but does increase the flexi-
bility of when power can be delivered, thus enhancing the value of
a facility. A two-pool facility is ‘always on’, and would be able to
provide the same sort of valuable service as the Dinorwig station.
20 Figure 5. A bursty tidal power
Power (W/m^2)
15
10 option using one lagoon at
5
0 sea-level. The tidal range is
-5
-10 2h = 4 m. The system
8
Sea
alternately sucks 7 W/m2 from
6
Lagoon
the electricity grid (for three
4 hours) and delivers 20 W/m2
2 (for three hours). The net
Height (m)
0
energy contribution is thus
-2
6.5 W/m2 .
-4
-6
-8
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Sea
High Low
Pump Pump
at high tide at low tide
30 2h = 4 m. Self-pumping takes
place with a power of 32 W/m2 .
20
10
0
12
Hi
After an initial set-up period of
10
8
Sea
Lo a couple of periods, the system
6 delivers a steady 4.5 W/m2 .
4
Top graph: solid line – power
Height (m)
2
0 delivered to grid.
-2
-4
Second graph: self-pumping
-6 power.
-8
-10
-12
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
30
20
8.5 W/m2 of steady power. The
10
0 tidal range is 2h = 4 m.
12
Hi
Self-pumping takes place with a
10
8
Sea
Lo power of 10 W/m2 .
6 Top graph: solid line – power
4
delivered to grid; dashed line –
Height (m)
2
0 average power received from
-2
-4
intermittent source, e.g. wind.
-6 Second graph: self-pumping
-8 power.
-10
-12
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
goon all the time. The system is generating a steady 8.5 W/m2 .
The range is roughly 20 m (five times the tidal range).
30
20
receiving 5.5 W/m2 of bursty
10
0 wind power and delivering
12
Hi 7.5 W/m2 of steady power.
10 Sea
8 Lo (b) A two-lagoon system
6 receiving 18 W/m2 of bursty
4
wind power and delivering
Height (m)
2
0 19 W/m2 of steady power.
-2
-4 The tidal range is 2h = 4 m.
-6 Top graph: solid line – power
-8
-10
delivered to grid; dashed line –
-12
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
average power received from
(a) intermittent source, e.g. wind.
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
Power (W/m^2)
-20
30
20
10
0
12
Hi
10 Sea
8 Lo
6
4
Height (m)
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
(b)
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
8 15 22 29 8 15 22 29
January 2006 June 2006
To reduce costs associated with high walls we could look for lop-
sided schedules where lagoons are pumped down to lower extremes
and not pumped up so high.
Criticisms: I’ve ignored the true dependence of generating
and pumping efficiency on head. I’ve assumed the sea is an in-
exhaustible source or sink of water at the current sea-level. Once
the system reaches a sufficiently large size, its sucking and blowing
will have a significant effect on local sea-level.
I’ve not taken account of the cost of turbines, assuming that
we can install whatever pumping and generating capacity these
schedules call for.
Discussion
Some of these ranges are enormous. Where could such a system be
put? What would it cost, and what would it be worth?
One simple observation is that the value delivered scales as the
area of the lagoons, but the dominant part of the cost – the walls
– scales as the circumference. Very large systems are thus favoured
by simple economics.
Let’s pick a benchmark size. How about 10 km × 10 km?
What about the cost? Two circular lagoons enclosing 100 km2
would require 50 km of walls. The low pool’s walls would be in
water of depth about 13 m. And (for the most ambitious schedules
described here) we need the high pool to have a wall of height 13 m
above sea-level. Let’s look at some costs from Tidal Electric limited.
Their plan for a small tidal lagoon in Swansea Bay (where the
mean tidal range varies between 4.1 m and 8.5 m) involved 9 km of
walls and would cost either £82 million (according to Tidal Electric,
AEA Technology, and W.S. Atkins Engineering) or £234 million
(according to critics of Tidal Electric’s scheme). The cost of the
wall was estimated to be £49 million or £114 million respectively.
Taking the larger of these two figures, the cost per km of wall
is £13 million. This wall was of height 16 m from sea bed to crest.
The walls I was imagining above would be slightly higher or perhaps
twice as high (if the high pool is built in water of the same depth as
the low pool). The wall, using this technology, would thus cost at
least £0.65 billion. Perhaps costs could be reduced by alternative
wall construction methods. And I think the wall heights could
be trimmed quite a lot without spoiling the results sketched here.
Doubling the wall’s cost to allow for all the other stuff, I’ll propose
£1.3 billion as the cost for a 10 km × 10 km two-lagoon system.
Dinorwig cost £0.4 billion in 1980 money, so £1.3 billion for a
facility superior to two Dinorwigs sounds a reasonable deal to me.
Another way of expressing the value of the facility is to take what
people currently spend on wind turbines – for example, £500 million
on the ‘650 MW’ Lewis wind farm, plus £375 million on the Lewis–
Mainland electricity connection: an expenditure of about £0.9 billion
on roughly 220 MW (average) of intermittent power. Scaling this
up, 550 MW of bursty wind power seems to be valued at £2.25 billion.
The pumped storage solution presented in figure 9(a), requiring
walls of height 9 m above mean sealevel, would turn this 550 MW of
bursty wind power into 750 MW of steady demand-following power.
It seems plausible to me that this service would be worth the esti-
mated cost of £1.3 billion.
If the cost needs to be reduced, we simply make the system
bigger. For example, we multiply the area by four (to 20 km ×
20 km) and double the length of all the walls. The estimated cost
roughly doubles (to £2.6 billion, say), but the storage quadruples
to 40 GWh (more than four Dinorwigs). As a source of tidal power,
this quadrupled station could deliver a steady 1.8 GW all day and
all night, and could serve peak demand.
Additional opportunities
A pair of lagoons in the sea with 13 m-high walls and electrical
plumbing installed would be a good place to locate wind turbines.
The turbines would be offshore, which is good, but erection and
maintenance of turbines on the walls would be much easier and
cheaper than for regular offshore turbines. 100 m diameter turbines
(with ‘capacity’ 3.5 MW) could be placed every 500 m – 100 turbines
in total, with a ‘capacity’ of 350 MW. A good combination: wind,
pumped storage, and tidal energy, all enhancing each other.
Perhaps to kill four birds with one stone, we could sequester
carbon too: the walls could be built out of artificial limestone, or
coal!
Acknowledgements
I thank Stephen Salter, Denis Mollison, Adrian Wrigley, Tim Jervis,
Marcus Frean, and Trevor Whittaker for helpful discussions.
References
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